NFL · resolved market
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bc8f82ebed3709347e417328a2109731616e3d22051139a917fe63e6b4a7e11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 27c | 66,480$17,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,646.53 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 28c | 9,850$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…bf35backed Yes | 0c | 8,465$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 69c | 8,310$5,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.97 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Yes | 13c | 8,100$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Yes | 26c | 8,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 11c | 7,829$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.94 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…e7c6backed Yes | 26c | 5,769$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 79c | 4,924$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.27 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a75…a578backed Yes | 10c | 4,070$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed Yes | 27c | 3,989$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4452…addabacked Yes | 9c | 3,914$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 76c | 3,501$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…d6fabacked Yes | 18c | 3,146$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 8c | 2,804$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.88 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Yes | 4c | 2,680$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…33efbacked Yes | 21c | 2,605$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes | 11c | 2,297$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…37fabacked Yes | 16c | 2,148$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…deb6backed Yes | 8c | 2,081$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 69c | 2,014$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.74 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.62 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…5348backed Yes | 26c | 1,948$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 1,919$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.92 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…feddbacked Yes | 17c | 1,460$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 77c | 1,450$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…33fbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,423$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed No | 79c | 1,324$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.23 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed No | 69c | 1,185$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f38…4c9abacked Yes | 1c | 1,180$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f59…1866backed Yes | 26c | 1,156$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 25c | 1,112$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 76c | 1,050$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.99 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdf…d1b0backed Yes | 33c | 1,046$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,023$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.32 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 10c | 1,019$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.81 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked Yes | 28c | 999.96$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 16c | 947.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 941.9$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Yes | 28c | 863.57$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.1 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeece…5701backed Yes | 13c | 855.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0088…fe52backed Yes | 25c | 852.02$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…2317backed Yes | 29c | 830$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…02efbacked Yes | 13c | 806.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Yes | 32c | 790.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…9a69backed Yes | 26c | 780.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…8e06backed Yes | 21c | 761.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…976bbacked Yes | 9c | 744.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…795dbacked Yes | 14c | 695.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 26c | 688.38$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.98 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…90fcbacked Yes | 19c | 675.26$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Yes | 12c | 640.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…0874backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…2c47backed Yes | 5c | 599.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…610bbacked Yes | 2c | 514.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…4695backed Yes | 14c | 509.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…7a55backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 498.58$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…8f96backed Yes | 10c | 496.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…fcaebacked Yes | 6c | 494.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked No | 77c | 494$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…727bbacked Yes | 19c | 488$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…c936backed Yes | 11c | 470.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 438.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.69 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 75c | 436.8$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…c1eebacked No | 75c | 430.81$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…1994backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa219…3d83backed Yes | 14c | 415.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…9a84backed Yes | 24c | 412.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd53…933cbacked Yes | 5c | 401.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…f14dbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…cdcdbacked Yes | 9c | 399.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…c7aebacked Yes | 13c | 399.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb9…a265backed Yes | 28c | 380.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8083backed Yes | 27c | 369.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1a9bbacked No | 69c | 362.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 25c | 355.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f4…5e6bbacked Yes | 28c | 352.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes | 13c | 350.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 14c | 346.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…b139backed Yes | 6c | 343$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…1249backed Yes | 20c | 342.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…411cbacked Yes | 30c | 336.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…af65backed Yes | 15c | 335.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 23c | 329.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked No | 70c | 325.74$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…f04fbacked Yes | 31c | 323.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 73c | 319.81$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9062…96c3backed Yes | 26c | 315.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 32c | 314.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Yes | 26c | 309.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…b181backed Yes | 12c | 304.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a3…6b07backed Yes | 33c | 300.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368e…84d4backed Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?this page
- No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?Yes won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.