NFL · resolved market
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86c196ac07cfe3b174b60fe321c3ae19d14322d30d830e2fce1f2731d30dbd84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 6c | 98,835$5,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,551.29 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 1c | 17,198$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.52 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Yes | 2c | 14,270$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Yes | 3c | 10,548$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 9,435$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.49 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,063$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 7c | 5,661$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 2c | 4,696$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,760$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 3c | 3,395$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3560backed Yes | 1c | 3,014$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…f291backed Yes | 1c | 2,785$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b8…be4cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,026$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8422…7979backed Yes | 5c | 2,017$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 1,889$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b0f6backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…fe89backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 3c | 1,472$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…025ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,354$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…8798backed Yes | 2c | 1,155$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 3c | 1,131$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…02efbacked Yes | 2c | 1,131$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…1c7abacked Yes | 3c | 1,036$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa496…9eccbacked Yes | 5c | 1,021$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…ed58backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 3c | 999.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…7fcbbacked Yes | 5c | 909.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4e…a79abacked Yes | 6c | 899.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…e33ebacked Yes | 4c | 898.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Yes | 10c | 756.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 4c | 670.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 11c | 649.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…c10dbacked Yes | 17c | 588.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 547.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…dc91backed Yes | 3c | 545.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…3e2fbacked Yes | 4c | 507.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Yes | 3c | 457.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…ae72backed Yes | 4c | 449.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 3c | 439.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…eb68backed Yes | 5c | 393.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Yes | 6c | 357.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a22…847bbacked Yes | 3c | 353.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…4001backed Yes | 4c | 346.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Yes | 6c | 300.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…0db5backed Yes | 4c | 298.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…64eebacked Yes | 5c | 271.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f6…e464backed Yes | 7c | 249.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa219…3d83backed Yes | 5c | 237.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb799…1876backed Yes | 9c | 231.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9123…9dd3backed Yes | 8c | 217.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…7f6abacked Yes | 11c | 210.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…7a19backed Yes | 7c | 209.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed No | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +192.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?this page
- No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?Yes won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.