NFL · resolved market
No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8736d671e05a6f4ccc8d34ba8cbe9805db67d8c96240537a74b2629f3c753739
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 3c | 64,355$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.71 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 1c | 40,268$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.84 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Yes | 1c | 15,390$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…7039backed Yes | 1c | 12,078$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 11,282$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 9,600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.73 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Yes | 4c | 6,140$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.47 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,049$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…85f7backed Yes | 4c | 5,037$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…30bdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,195$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 1c | 3,153$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,932$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 2c | 2,325$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 2,113$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…fe89backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 2c | 1,870$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c5…a280backed Yes | 4c | 1,814$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…a4c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,571$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +170.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Yes | 1c | 1,321$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…92acbacked Yes | 2c | 1,315$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…c10dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,251$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 2c | 1,228$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…7fcbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,168$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,104$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,086$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 11c | 849.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…5f74backed Yes | 2c | 807.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Yes | 2c | 804$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 749.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dc…6b7ebacked Yes | 3c | 626.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…4001backed Yes | 4c | 560.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Yes | 4c | 448.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Yes | 5c | 422.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…c316backed Yes | 5c | 221.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 11c | 121.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?this page
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?Yes won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.