NFL · resolved market
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2daf0effa7bcb3f35db41f1c5d51a3c6e2cebbdc0f9dcfd7b1e96851b14bb519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $425,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 39c | 67,476$26,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,397.28 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 69c | 25,108$17,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,748.15 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed Yes | 46c | 21,319$9,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,434.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 44c | 17,357$7,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,743.69 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Yes | 44c | 11,390$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Yes | 38c | 10,918$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,818.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ca…adc9backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 37c | 9,575$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,048.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 50c | 6,631$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.64 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 2c | 6,291$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.81 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…9750backed No | 53c | 6,087$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed Yes | 33c | 5,660$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 56c | 5,297$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…d11bbacked No | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Yes | 43c | 4,952$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 53c | 4,647$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.02 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 55c | 4,493$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d562backed Yes | 41c | 2,835$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 46c | 2,819$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 4c | 2,576$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…5d56backed No | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0863…4eccbacked Yes | 58c | 2,078$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed No | 62c | 2,055$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Yes | 26c | 2,053$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Yes | 26c | 1,925$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed Yes | 35c | 1,674$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed No | 5c | 1,630$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 55c | 1,534$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.59 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…d6fabacked Yes | 36c | 1,521$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Yes | 38c | 1,500$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Yes | 44c | 1,436$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.42 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 58c | 1,433$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f4…5e6bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,433$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.04 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,373$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 63c | 1,331$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed No | 54c | 1,282$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.59 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 1,149$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.17 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ae…5affbacked Yes | 38c | 1,119$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked No | 40c | 1,044$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.77 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…b34ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,034$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 36c | 1,015$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.52 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a82…7379backed No | 2c | 999.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…5e9bbacked Yes | 39c | 991.47$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 53c | 991$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.23 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce30…4a1cbacked Yes | 43c | 983.37$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 55c | 980.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…09dcbacked No | 4c | 900$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 42c | 884.8$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c83…0f55backed Yes | 50c | 881.44$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 73c | 881$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.81 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 49c | 817.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 35c | 805.67$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…10fbbacked Yes | 68c | 805.21$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Yes | 35c | 784.75$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Yes | 38c | 747.31$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.24 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…00f5backed Yes | 33c | 730.8$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 716.11$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 21c | 694.45$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Yes | 43c | 689.05$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 42c | 656$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Yes | 29c | 653.17$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…767fbacked Yes | 37c | 621.4$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…a61cbacked No | 5c | 607.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 57c | 599.87$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 61c | 599.85$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.56 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…8e06backed No | 59c | 591$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 570.5$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.59 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 61c | 559.78$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.87 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc6…a83dbacked Yes | 50c | 535.31$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 54c | 524.5$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…acdfbacked Yes | 59c | 504.68$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.99 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…c2c6backed No | 60c | 498.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb87e…acd3backed Yes | 40c | 492$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…a67ebacked Yes | 51c | 490.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 38c | 484.41$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.97 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Yes | 51c | 455.55$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 57c | 454.46$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.14 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…69c5backed Yes | 38c | 442.87$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…3836backed No | 5c | 440$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…bc3bbacked Yes | 54c | 438.39$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 49c | 411.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…bc77backed Yes | 29c | 401.7$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +249.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…08b8backed Yes | 25c | 394.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…a634backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…7fbdbacked No | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb931…76bfbacked No | 8c | 374.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…8fc6backed Yes | 41c | 366.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.5 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 46c | 361.61$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.91 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 61c | 355.77$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.06 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…d74bbacked No | 6c | 353.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…7a55backed Yes | 43c | 351.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 80c | 347.65$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.13 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9229…65a7backed No | 5c | 340$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Yes | 51c | 318.67$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?this page
- No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.