NFL · resolved market
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf924902a3c673c883e0080f20b874cd22da29f7f6a66c6e8f73cc6564c830865
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 12c | 107,647$12,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,866.48 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Yes | 4c | 8,950$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 5,897$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.07 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 6c | 4,957$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.26 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Yes | 12c | 4,171$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 1c | 2,555$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 7c | 2,542$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,436$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 6c | 2,341$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,051$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,890$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Yes | 3c | 1,794$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 61c | 1,755$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5b…e572backed Yes | 2c | 1,556$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 6c | 1,489$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,479$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 4c | 1,458$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 6c | 1,391$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…fc35backed Yes | 2c | 1,218$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…8810backed Yes | 9c | 1,083$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…8e06backed Yes | 6c | 1,037$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 939.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…cc8fbacked Yes | 12c | 802.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 799.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c5…a280backed Yes | 13c | 767.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Yes | 13c | 744.62$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed Yes | 7c | 742.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41eb…da1dbacked Yes | 15c | 669.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac4…de8cbacked Yes | 32c | 629.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…64edbacked Yes | 16c | 612.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c16…3356backed Yes | 8c | 607$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 10c | 602.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 6c | 599.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…0db5backed Yes | 7c | 591.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 12c | 479.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe926…1c9bbacked Yes | 11c | 460.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…c1eebacked Yes | 8c | 454.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…0874backed Yes | 12c | 425.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8694…ab4cbacked Yes | 18c | 418.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…7389backed Yes | 12c | 412.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…667ebacked Yes | 3c | 404.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…1521backed Yes | 10c | 399.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919c…a281backed Yes | 9c | 397.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…ccc7backed Yes | 11c | 385.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…9638backed Yes | 13c | 377.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed Yes | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…976bbacked Yes | 8c | 367.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492f…061ebacked Yes | 9c | 366.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478c…27d8backed Yes | 12c | 342.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…cdcdbacked Yes | 5c | 333.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…aaf6backed Yes | 13c | 312.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ee…8b31backed Yes | 13c | 300.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…c10dbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 7c | 280$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ba…a824backed Yes | 9c | 271.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…1555backed Yes | 14c | 262.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…ced4backed Yes | 12c | 256.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…f7b2backed Yes | 8c | 238.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2aecbacked Yes | 13c | 233.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…3e1bbacked Yes | 11c | 231.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…92acbacked Yes | 7c | 230.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 12c | 215.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…1249backed Yes | 10c | 208.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9145…363dbacked Yes | 7c | 205.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…e880backed Yes | 8c | 205$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…873cbacked Yes | 10c | 204.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d2…8b39backed Yes | 10c | 201.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…61e2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…b926backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…c0cdbacked Yes | 9c | 192$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 184.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5595…12a8backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…94f8backed Yes | 11c | 180.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Yes | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…223fbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…42e4backed Yes | 12c | 166.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…0944backed Yes | 13c | 157.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…e44abacked Yes | 13c | 151.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe112…ae59backed Yes | 13c | 150.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f6…e464backed Yes | 14c | 147.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f52…b424backed Yes | 12c | 138.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…be8fbacked Yes | 9c | 129.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…6763backed Yes | 11c | 119.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…7874backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…4472backed Yes | 10c | 110.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3707…b4c9backed Yes | 14c | 105.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 11c | 101.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…0bb7backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…59e5backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cff…c6ccbacked Yes | 13c | 94.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937c…b5cdbacked Yes | 13c | 93.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…18d1backed Yes | 13c | 86.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?this page
- No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?Yes won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.