TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93e2…92b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 58 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2313%3 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,224.5%+$124.15
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
Will France strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+258.7%+$68.2
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.76
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.97
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.01
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.19
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.72
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the next Claude Opus model not be released by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+263.3%+$30.72
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+635%+$115.76
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.63
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$36.06
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.54
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+569.1%+$135
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.47
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$52.82
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.78
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+523.3%+$77.8
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28.21
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+306.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+131.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+198.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+326%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+326%+$37.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be less than 8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big 12 conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.