Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68de8f93c3ed4ce752d8e69afdcd5563becfd38463c947f275016d357d2ff989
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,601 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 0c | 58,734$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.18 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 4c | 16,378$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.88 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…5323backed Yes | 2c | 12,254$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…737abacked Yes | 0c | 9,636$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Yes | 1c | 8,542$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 4c | 7,054$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.52 | 130 | 14.6%19 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…1fabbacked Yes | 0c | 6,850$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 1c | 6,676$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…53f1backed Yes | 0c | 6,326$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…a4c8backed Yes | 1c | 6,164$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,031$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 553 | 5.6%31 W · 522 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…114dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,924$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e9…cfb0backed Yes | 0c | 5,875$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce1…ec83backed Yes | 1c | 5,134$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…c3f1backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…de46backed Yes | 2c | 4,638$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba9…0521backed Yes | 2c | 4,095$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked Yes | 0c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 16.6%44 W · 221 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…d3bbbacked Yes | 5c | 3,912$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cd…17acbacked Yes | 2c | 3,815$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd655…b5d5backed Yes | 3c | 3,495$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 9c | 3,080$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.76 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 27.1%29 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,985$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 2,979$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.48 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 2c | 2,946$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…fa48backed Yes | 1c | 2,891$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 5c | 2,798$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.53 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef90…5930backed Yes | 4c | 2,575$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,532$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c3…ac62backed Yes | 1c | 2,522$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed Yes | 4c | 2,076$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…0f80backed Yes | 4c | 2,057$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe46…8b21backed Yes | 2c | 2,023$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 218 | 16.1%35 W · 183 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Yes | 3c | 2,005$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 1c | 2,002$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 256 | 17.2%44 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d6…a674backed Yes | 2c | 1,962$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…c30dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,895$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 1,681$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 3c | 1,628$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 105 | 10.5%11 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 1c | 1,597$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Yes | 10c | 1,576$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.26 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 2c | 1,510$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc7…e1febacked Yes | 1c | 1,488$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0581…6565backed Yes | 4c | 1,374$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…356abacked Yes | 2c | 1,363$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 25c | 1,269$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.47 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 1,210$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 272 | 7%19 W · 253 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,204$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7766…b7f6backed Yes | 4c | 1,201$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 321 | 10%32 W · 289 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed Yes | 2c | 1,146$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 4c | 1,138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22de…d7ecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,135$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,065$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 8c | 1,045$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 12c | 1,042$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef1…d41cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,006$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…da43backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889f…a7efbacked Yes | 3c | 880.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 6c | 842.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 810.47$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.25 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 3c | 809.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…49c9backed Yes | 5c | 759.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 37c | 741.68$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 2c | 700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +13.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 28c | 678.41$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291f…6c53backed Yes | 3c | 635.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes | 2c | 614.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…c506backed Yes | 2c | 610$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…9c73backed Yes | 2c | 610$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…4d69backed Yes | 20c | 602.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbb…9213backed Yes | 17c | 588.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 2c | 588.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…5414backed Yes | 2c | 585.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…abbfbacked Yes | 4c | 585.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 6c | 570.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 13c | 567.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 548.69$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.53 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…7f72backed Yes | 48c | 545.48$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…5827backed Yes | 3c | 530$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 296 | 10.5%31 W · 265 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…ee84backed Yes | 2c | 527.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…096ebacked Yes | 20c | 508.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…0386backed No | 80c | 508.87$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ce…0095backed Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 20c | 494.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed Yes | 16c | 485.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3c…ee83backed Yes | 4c | 483.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 481.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 10c | 463$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 18c | 428.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 6c | 400.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 78c | 396.64$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…5a14backed Yes | 3c | 391.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 378.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 398 | 6.8%27 W · 371 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…3887backed Yes | 7c | 374$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.