Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc476fa02d392811b0b42147bb477ea8aacf02bba23704926b01d95e0f0186b87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,709 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed No | 2c | 8,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 45c | 2,866$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.56 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed Yes | 29c | 2,017$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.49 | 264 | 11.4%30 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 38c | 1,831$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.61 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed No | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 1cpaid | +2,930.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 30c | 1,779$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.63 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 47c | 1,049$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.53 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 63c | 962.52$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.76 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eeb…f025backed No | 11c | 918.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…d3bbbacked Yes | 50c | 849.32$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.07 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b5…80eebacked No | 25c | 776.13$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…7f72backed Yes | 62c | 717.77$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…1eb0backed No | 18c | 682.88$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb8…b964backed Yes | 72c | 601.24$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 72c | 587.91$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 130 | 14.6%19 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…ccacbacked Yes | 57c | 584.94$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.93 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…9aebbacked Yes | 35c | 570.66$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.66 | 241 | 14.1%34 W · 207 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 74c | 567.47$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 68c | 567.17$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 519.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 31c | 505$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 77 | 14.3%11 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 51c | 493.6$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.07 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 60c | 473.88$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.88 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3478…31c6backed Yes | 21c | 472.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +378.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 65c | 472.54$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 70c | 463$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.26 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 30c | 451.53$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed No | 36c | 448.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 10c | 432.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 67c | 423.56$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.88 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 29c | 422.01$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.88 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…7df2backed No | 6c | 411$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 39c | 401.81$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.75 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +108%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 42c | 378.11$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Yes | 30c | 378.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.34 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 20c | 369.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f1…25f6backed Yes | 43c | 366.28$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…fd31backed No | 39c | 365.73$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…4536backed No | 21c | 361.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbb…9213backed No | 28c | 359.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…d4febacked Yes | 35c | 349.95$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.4 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 49c | 336.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…501cbacked No | 4c | 326.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 59c | 324.01$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 63c | 315.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 526 | 19.8%104 W · 422 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…ea70backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 139 | 26.6%37 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…cf27backed No | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 64c | 295$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 12c | 284.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.73 | 123 | 8.9%11 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 69c | 275.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 154 | 30.5%47 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…a8c1backed Yes | 36c | 275$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 37c | 266.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…0f6abacked Yes | 19c | 259.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 16c | 242.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 57c | 240.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 58c | 236.09$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 28c | 234.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.58 | 417 | 18%75 W · 342 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 38c | 228.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.31 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1c…e948backed No | 16c | 222.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked Yes | 69c | 218.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 31c | 206.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…bdaebacked Yes | 27c | 205$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…ab8abacked Yes | 72c | 202.56$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5backed No | 62c | 200.02$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 63 | 81%51 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.23 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 197$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.6 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…5cbabacked No | 10c | 196.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed No | 9c | 186.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…ff6ebacked Yes | 27c | 184.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9748…91e1backed Yes | 27c | 176.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb41…0a5cbacked Yes | 57c | 172.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 60c | 170$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf811…de46backed Yes | 57c | 169.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2c…2a5ebacked No | 18c | 167$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked No | 28c | 165$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…4048backed No | 39c | 164.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…a7e8backed No | 11c | 162.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Yes | 63c | 160.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…1b43backed Yes | 66c | 152.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aae…cd88backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed No | 64c | 149.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…ed3fbacked Yes | 37c | 145.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…0432backed Yes | 37c | 143.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…114dbacked No | 14c | 142.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…a4f9backed Yes | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 36c | 139.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…5f9dbacked Yes | 72c | 138.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…c30dbacked Yes | 36c | 137.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4cc9backed Yes | 36c | 131.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 195 | 27.7%54 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b83…0a52backed Yes | 61c | 128.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed No | 12c | 126.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7636…ecd2backed Yes | 39c | 121.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…3e16backed No | 61c | 121.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…09d5backed Yes | 57c | 115$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked No | 12c | 112.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 14c | 109.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.