TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97c2…55d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
373
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Commodities, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 66 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4445.5%20 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.77
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$83.2
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.03
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.99
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.1
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$46.2
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$75.22
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$122.1
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$129.63
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$102
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.93
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.7
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$484.13
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$162.67
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$303
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$529.04
Fact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.6%+$72.57
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$117.15
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100.9
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$218.73
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+58.7%+$66.6
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$312
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT4070%28 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.48
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$142.8
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.8
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.99
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.8
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$33.42
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$46.5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$36.36
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.39
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$126
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.88
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$165
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$164.99
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$194.99
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.4
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$798.9
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$132.6
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$137.7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+27.3%+$192.84
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25.7%+$149.47
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$612.37
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$82.8
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$3,459.23
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,588Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$953.67
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,957Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.3%+$1,119.91
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3873.7%28 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$68.42
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$147
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$439.8
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$948Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$948.26
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$234
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.1
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$121.8
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$163.51
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$50.63
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$62.95
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.6
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$87.59
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$452.98
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$173.98
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.06
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$33.7
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$22.93
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$129.79
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.55
Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$55.24
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$36
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.2
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.23
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$157.93
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3781.1%30 W · 7 L+9.0wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+62%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
Commodities — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39%+$264.36
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$416.83
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.31
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$320.29
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$58
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$72.46
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$125.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$136
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$280.83
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.4
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+54.5%+$214.19
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.1
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+68.8%+$159.34
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+52%+$311.86
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+180.2%+$408.48
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.5%+$146.06
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$160.37
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+145.6%+$130.78
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+236.1%+$213
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+277.2%+$392.3
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,379Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.4%+$874.16
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+64.2%+$40.89
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.3%+$97.06
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT3070%21 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$187.5
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.93
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$28.73
Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.96
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$241.71
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$555
Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.05
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.3
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$73.62
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.84
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.5
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$936.72
Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$180.6
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$142.8
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.84
Will Sam Bregman win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$178.94
Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$314.67
Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$75.93
Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,384Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$596
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,742.4
Will Dick Durbin vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$53.3
Will Chuck Schumer vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$16.28
Will Susan Collins vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+225.6%+$29.91
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$102.6
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+41%+$24.65
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.26
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$645.18
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,121.08
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$264
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,199.56
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$231.75
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$79.72
Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$60.58
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$26.28
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.17
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$608.73
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$702.94
Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.83
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$65.65
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+31.6%+$40.46
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.72
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $300-$305 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,374Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+31%+$426
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$811.2
Will NVIDIA dip to $176 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.06
Will Tesla dip to $405 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$369.95
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$58.11
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+28.8%+$281.37
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$47.9
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$59.72
Will Meta (META) close above $600 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200.73
Will Apple dip to $232 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$44.33
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52.96
Will Google dip to $310 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+32.2%+$209.04
Will Microsoft dip to $428 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$79.82
Will Palantir dip to $162 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30.51
Will Apple dip to $244 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$79.46
Will Meta (META) close above $660 end of December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit a 52-Week High by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+370.6%+$83.6
All 23 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.83
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$529.25
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.16
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$590.66
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51%+$172.22
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.66
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+87.7%+$770.42
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$331.8
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$82.94
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$27.37
Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,609Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+40.8%+$1,065.46
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$676.8
Will "Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$35.17
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$385.7
Will "His & Hers" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (February 10)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$132
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+426.3%+$324.66
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.3%+$614.91
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$132.67
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+30.1%+$123.7
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+48.2%+$8.91
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$96.47
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.1
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.36
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.55
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$60.63
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$78
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+65.2%+$12.74
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$36.66
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$602.6
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$76
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.98
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$32.18
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$33.23
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.83
Will Russia enter Bilytske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+49.6%+$119.83
Will Russia enter Toretske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.79
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+517.3%+$52.27
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+116.9%+$134.31
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.4
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+139.4%+$70.96
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.81
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$213.29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$846.74
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$150.38
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+257.1%+$330.98
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14.41
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$75
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$126.18
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+74.7%+$13.26
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.45
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$91.98
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+102.8%+$72.04
All 18 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$38.74
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.7
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,774Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,323.98
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$368
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+153.6%+$372.35
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+46%+$378
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$129.42
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,077.76
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$706.28
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+59.1%+$112.72
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+125.4%+$390.61
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$473.3
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25.3
Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.82
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Ratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.04
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,508.05
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+223%+$943.88
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$36.83
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+119.2%+$76.1
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?backed US Strikes Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$78.85
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25.4%+$78.97
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$293.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+117.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+129.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$433.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$122.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$402.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.