Token Launches · resolved market
Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa23bd9925b5d5fe7043105931cd6cd1be6e8a9cbea30a1a1c6bc7b6d7d0284d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $738,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $745,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $738,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce02…73aabacked Yes | 0c | 66,608$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed Yes | 23c | 32,801$7,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,507.7 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 4c | 29,175$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.02 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…952dbacked Yes | 8c | 21,187$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.03 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…82e6backed Yes | 38c | 20,160$7,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,586.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 0c | 16,753$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 4c | 15,000$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7316…4686backed Yes | 4c | 10,667$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…e0d8backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8a…e4cdbacked No | 70c | 9,694$6,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6552…baa4backed Yes | 36c | 9,691$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5d…8f70backed Yes | 2c | 9,486$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 9,280$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.9 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…d7c8backed Yes | 7c | 7,201$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…d727backed Yes | 24c | 6,396$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd973…643fbacked Yes | 19c | 6,386$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed Yes | 7c | 6,298$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.54 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…883cbacked No | 79c | 6,202$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…1ce8backed No | 50c | 5,953$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.99 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed Yes | 7c | 5,855$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.48 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 10c | 5,515$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.13 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 2c | 4,900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed No | 75c | 3,891$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.51 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed No | 53c | 3,815$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.54 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 7c | 3,658$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.58 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…2cd4backed Yes | 0c | 3,616$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 29c | 3,425$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.36 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 3,390$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Yes | 8c | 3,354$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…fa27backed No | 72c | 3,352$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Yes | 2c | 3,258$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,108$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 52c | 3,104$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.49 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 59c | 2,984$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.28 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…f8ddbacked Yes | 5c | 2,800$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed Yes | 3c | 2,799$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed No | 75c | 2,681$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.94 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 4c | 2,600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…2528backed No | 75c | 2,514$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.47 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +13.8wins | +0.42per pick | 31cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x935c…b84dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,430$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 18c | 2,331$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.71 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,272$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked Yes | 65c | 2,185$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,145$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.16 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…9b56backed No | 64c | 2,094$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.26 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed No | 46c | 2,055$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.05 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…31cfbacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 65c | 1,862$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.9 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 29c | 1,850$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked No | 57c | 1,807$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.39 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 3c | 1,800$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…6474backed Yes | 5c | 1,766$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 14c | 1,766$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.76 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…11a0backed Yes | 46c | 1,698$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.26 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,673$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…21b0backed No | 52c | 1,555$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.68 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…1ee4backed Yes | 33c | 1,510$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…ee87backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,481$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…a6dabacked Yes | 17c | 1,437$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…ae36backed No | 56c | 1,428$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 72c | 1,415$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.02 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc10c…d845backed No | 69c | 1,404$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913e…2f02backed Yes | 8c | 1,370$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…4ab2backed Yes | 1c | 1,368$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…b3febacked Yes | 2c | 1,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…8c72backed No | 79c | 1,199$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…5e07backed Yes | 12c | 1,191$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.56 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210b…8a57backed Yes | 60c | 1,153$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Yes | 43c | 1,148$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,141$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…84eabacked Yes | 9c | 1,092$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed No | 52c | 1,067$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.07 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…a718backed Yes | 12c | 1,060$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…0069backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…2903backed No | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…e3fabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…3d76backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed Yes | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed No | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed No | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…5d10backed Yes | 30c | 999.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…82eebacked Yes | 21c | 996.54$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.89 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…5796backed No | 50c | 991.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 65c | 933.45$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 933$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 38c | 914.26$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.32 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6db8backed No | 78c | 912$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 34c | 900$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…1047backed Yes | 2c | 900$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?this page
- Over 10,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes won
- Over 15,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes won
- Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 40,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 45,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 50,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 7000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.