Token Launches · resolved market
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x436b51a06c3d5c762269ce7ff7f41848fd1be054d6b266be7dcb2dabef2a547c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,517,713
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,707,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,517,713 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 784 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2048…f572backed Yes | 67c | 102,282$68,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,046.56 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…952dbacked Yes | 52c | 57,053$29,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,420.04 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…883cbacked Yes | 70c | 55,554$39,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,029.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed No | 66c | 52,443$34,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,843.28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 9c | 50,541$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,117.75 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 6c | 46,138$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…2ef8backed Yes | 67c | 45,034$30,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,105.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…408dbacked No | 52c | 41,020$21,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,516.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 12c | 38,734$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,163.74 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…6bf8backed No | 20c | 37,728$7,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,207.57 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +10.5wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked Yes | 21c | 37,531$7,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,855.76 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…31cfbacked No | 30c | 37,226$10,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,229.04 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed No | 41c | 36,313$14,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,584.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…82e6backed Yes | 60c | 35,435$21,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,333.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6de…ea39backed No | 10c | 31,441$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,431.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +316.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…2528backed No | 13c | 31,130$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,230.39 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +13.8wins | +0.42per pick | 31cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee2…bea6backed No | 18c | 29,239$5,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,007.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…ee87backed Yes | 5c | 29,137$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.5 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…1325backed No | 32c | 25,769$8,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,454.86 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed Yes | 40c | 24,149$9,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,624.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked Yes | 26c | 23,534$6,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,013.42 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d7…eaf2backed Yes | 7c | 23,211$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.89 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +307.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…e0d8backed Yes | 61c | 21,825$13,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,314.14 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b4…c354backed No | 22c | 20,980$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,353.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked No | 71c | 19,478$13,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 2c | 19,073$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.02 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab1…2473backed No | 42c | 18,893$7,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,975.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 63c | 18,883$11,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,973.48 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eff…e593backed Yes | 71c | 18,079$12,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,756.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bf…9401backed Yes | 36c | 17,655$6,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,423.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…400cbacked No | 25c | 17,330$4,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,062.53 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 16c | 16,669$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,067.29 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…ade4backed No | 13c | 15,566$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,555.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 64c | 15,193$9,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,769.81 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8203…0187backed No | 80c | 15,158$12,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.11 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -84%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed Yes | 55c | 14,348$7,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,907.1 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed No | 76c | 13,819$10,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…c41fbacked No | 15c | 13,442$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,404.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 72c | 13,255$9,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,486.67 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed Yes | 78c | 13,182$10,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,320.08 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…9cb3backed Yes | 60c | 13,000$7,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,858.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed No | 21c | 12,715$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,009.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +370%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…317abacked Yes | 0c | 12,568$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f8…a3f1backed No | 4c | 12,491$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,982.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +534.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8178backed Yes | 2c | 12,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 15c | 11,916$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,177.01 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked No | 48c | 11,538$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,958.58 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6100…46aebacked No | 52c | 11,495$5,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,531.55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed No | 22c | 11,388$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,886.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…e744backed No | 79c | 11,179$8,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 74c | 10,653$7,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.84 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +11.3wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…1ce8backed No | 11c | 10,453$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,304.44 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed Yes | 0c | 10,200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…5bdabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…d5a1backed No | 12c | 9,882$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,710.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…2903backed Yes | 75c | 9,755$7,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,331.64 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked Yes | 27c | 9,647$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.69 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…6236backed Yes | 30c | 9,461$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.32 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x364d…5153backed No | 21c | 9,399$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,439.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +379.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…97afbacked No | 71c | 8,500$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 18c | 8,310$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.54 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Yes | 74c | 8,000$5,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,930 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 21c | 7,973$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,272.9 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…4903backed No | 11c | 7,861$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,998.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…6474backed Yes | 51c | 7,458$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…d7c8backed Yes | 28c | 7,335$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fd…48fbbacked Yes | 48c | 7,298$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -69%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed No | 21c | 7,276$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,748.3 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 20c | 7,264$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.39 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…886ebacked No | 20c | 7,252$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,827.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd973…643fbacked Yes | 52c | 7,012$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…0853backed No | 44c | 6,826$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,804.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 7c | 6,672$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,172.7 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…06dabacked No | 79c | 6,612$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923d…2c28backed Yes | 31c | 6,580$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…94edbacked Yes | 29c | 6,432$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 62c | 6,423$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004.26 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…7ac3backed Yes | 56c | 6,328$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c0…d212backed Yes | 60c | 6,280$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed No | 26c | 6,245$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.34 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed No | 20c | 6,215$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,957.17 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked Yes | 70c | 6,050$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…e2d3backed Yes | 37c | 5,996$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.92 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…ab03backed Yes | 28c | 5,787$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.17 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.28per pick | 34cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 74c | 5,709$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.78 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…f52cbacked Yes | 38c | 5,642$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e0…64fabacked Yes | 8c | 5,579$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…6746backed No | 18c | 5,578$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,578.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +457.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…835ebacked Yes | 69c | 5,511$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…642abacked No | 59c | 5,400$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…291ebacked No | 11c | 5,288$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,681.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 45c | 5,250$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.44 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…a5cbbacked Yes | 2c | 5,235$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…8833backed Yes | 20c | 5,156$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e404backed Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…d0dfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked No | 18c | 4,946$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…01bdbacked No | 33c | 4,567$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 14c | 4,511$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?this page
- Over 10,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes won
- Over 15,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes won
- Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 30,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 35,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 40,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 45,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 50,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?No won
- Over 7000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.