TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x990b…7ac3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.07
T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs Indiabacked Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistanbacked Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,910Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$489.58
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+46%+$157.5
Will Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,070
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,850
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,715.78
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$105.6
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$121
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$116.59
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,358Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$5,761.87
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$89
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,320.49
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+39.4%+$102.02
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25.8%+$82
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+43.2%+$300.52
VOOI FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+300%+$75
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$3,565.54
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.48
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.42
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$88.1
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$156
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+72%+$146.49
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+669.2%+$120.92
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.43
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+105.1%+$117.88
All 20 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$60.3
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+127.3%+$280
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.81
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99.5
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$124.33
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+70.6%+$170.98
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$811.06
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,781Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+44.5%+$792.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick72cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$572.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$89.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$21.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$53.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.