Movies · resolved market
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf398b0e5016eeaee9b0885ed84012b6dc91269ac10d3b59d60722859c2e30b2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $397,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $396,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 640 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26fc…14efbacked Yes | 25c | 46,400$11,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,661 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +295.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd81…fe97backed Yes | 30c | 27,500$8,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,222.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +232.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95d…1815backed No | 75c | 23,300$17,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,428.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…2765backed No | 75c | 23,100$17,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,232.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b7…c8e8backed No | 70c | 15,400$10,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,764.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…f1bebacked No | 70c | 12,700$8,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,890 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…a75cbacked Yes | 30c | 12,300$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,610 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5311…cbd0backed Yes | 27c | 12,100$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,845.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +271.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf125…1bd6backed No | 73c | 12,095$8,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,829.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…4e04backed No | 70c | 11,695$8,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,174.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a03…6c01backed No | 70c | 8,700$6,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,090 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…f18abacked No | 70c | 6,700$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…10e8backed Yes | 34c | 4,158$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…3f8fbacked No | 14c | 2,091$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked No | 18c | 1,781$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…12afbacked Yes | 19c | 1,694$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes | 41c | 1,452$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.53 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed Yes | 14c | 1,414$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…d1c7backed Yes | 25c | 1,414$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 19c | 1,316$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 10c | 1,279$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 14c | 1,180$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes | 26c | 1,170$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked Yes | 26c | 1,092$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,091$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 19c | 1,015$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 9c | 966.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…c2c7backed Yes | 32c | 965.14$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…219bbacked No | 76c | 949.51$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 14c | 921.36$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.6 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes | 14c | 907$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…6459backed Yes | 30c | 901.96$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…0471backed Yes | 24c | 859.33$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 69c | 859$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 2c | 806.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.76 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +335.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…6b98backed Yes | 76c | 803.31$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed No | 65c | 782$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 43c | 774.94$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 74c | 744$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.07 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…38f9backed No | 8c | 738.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 74c | 728$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…2c0bbacked No | 7c | 715.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…63b6backed No | 74c | 711$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…ad54backed Yes | 28c | 693.15$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 67c | 684.94$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.4 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…cf10backed No | 61c | 660$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 41c | 647.32$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 24c | 632.49$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed Yes | 14c | 610$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.77 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf4…73afbacked Yes | 27c | 605$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +265%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 71c | 576.91$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.58 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked Yes | 35c | 572$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed Yes | 14c | 568.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…2ffcbacked Yes | 44c | 560.63$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -62%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked No | 6c | 552$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7598…6d1cbacked No | 18c | 551.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1aa…298cbacked Yes | 54c | 541.48$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1560…1279backed Yes | 33c | 533.92$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…c00fbacked No | 75c | 530.49$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 40c | 523.88$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…9d85backed Yes | 8c | 522$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…f668backed Yes | 20c | 494$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 52c | 485.47$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.07 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -60%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 79c | 482.47$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 6c | 468.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +315.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 72c | 468.71$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf860…c045backed Yes | 33c | 468.68$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d62…df5cbacked Yes | 32c | 463.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…fd3bbacked Yes | 30c | 463.15$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 34c | 456.21$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.34 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed Yes | 6c | 451.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 63c | 443$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…4456backed Yes | 31c | 434$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 31c | 425$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 14c | 423$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 3c | 420.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ed…9594backed Yes | 34c | 405.54$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…fe91backed Yes | 34c | 403$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked No | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…b48cbacked Yes | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…deb5backed No | 49c | 379.53$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd183…ebffbacked Yes | 7c | 379$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,288.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaccf…b278backed Yes | 27c | 378.27$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed Yes | 32c | 373$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 30c | 372.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.4 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b5…8d41backed Yes | 32c | 369.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 34c | 361.36$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked Yes | 15c | 359$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 15c | 359$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 358.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.2 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 15c | 358$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32c5…31ddbacked No | 9c | 342.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed No | 20c | 335.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…dd00backed No | 75c | 333.16$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 44c | 329.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.3 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked No | 80c | 326$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc5…b8afbacked No | 72c | 323.7$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?this page
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?No won
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?No won
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?No won
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No won
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.