Movies · resolved market
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2b48e3b44de9658ee9c8b37354301763e33c0b502fd966839d644b4c0a9dea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fc3…12afbacked Yes | 1c | 6,812$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 3c | 5,037$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…10e8backed Yes | 14c | 4,875$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…0471backed Yes | 5c | 4,444$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,226$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.72 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…a0d7backed Yes | 4c | 3,219$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…6040backed Yes | 4c | 2,526$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 5c | 2,446$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -60%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4257…43bbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,213$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…c2c7backed Yes | 15c | 2,037$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1560…1279backed Yes | 11c | 2,001$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…637dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,774$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf860…c045backed Yes | 6c | 1,488$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes | 7c | 1,461$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…3c17backed Yes | 1c | 1,442$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…48d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,399$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd608…9d67backed Yes | 19c | 1,346$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d62…df5cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,269$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…81bdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,190$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc6…7ce4backed Yes | 3c | 1,174$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…953ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,151$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…6459backed Yes | 7c | 1,081$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…8200backed Yes | 12c | 1,043$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 1,035$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 12c | 846.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 6c | 803.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1aa…298cbacked Yes | 5c | 725.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e86…6bc9backed Yes | 4c | 668.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0116…fdf7backed Yes | 12c | 629.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…a8e0backed Yes | 3c | 613.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…ad54backed Yes | 18c | 587.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 4c | 585.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…2ffcbacked Yes | 4c | 501.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -62%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efe…19b4backed Yes | 3c | 455.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 6c | 450.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c5…82d9backed Yes | 10c | 425.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9b…e768backed Yes | 8c | 419.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…9e6abacked Yes | 4c | 404.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 6c | 404.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…c2b8backed Yes | 5c | 374$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…fff5backed Yes | 3c | 365.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4682…4adebacked Yes | 5c | 346.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1938…ba1fbacked Yes | 7c | 340.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…8932backed Yes | 6c | 336.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…5635backed Yes | 4c | 333.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 4c | 329.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…adb6backed Yes | 8c | 300.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa5…fdcbbacked Yes | 4c | 278.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…0de9backed Yes | 7c | 270.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f200backed Yes | 14c | 269.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…21babacked Yes | 9c | 268.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4501…ce82backed Yes | 4c | 259.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb8…8d71backed Yes | 10c | 257.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f0…3196backed Yes | 5c | 253.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66e…3e87backed Yes | 6c | 240.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53dd…96e4backed Yes | 8c | 231.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…7949backed Yes | 6c | 231.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6682…8400backed Yes | 8c | 230.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4c…afe5backed Yes | 11c | 229.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…ff75backed Yes | 11c | 223.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…5e27backed Yes | 8c | 221.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe919…da2dbacked Yes | 16c | 213.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…5f7ebacked Yes | 7c | 213.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…71c2backed Yes | 17c | 208.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Yes | 15c | 205$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…cc58backed Yes | 9c | 202.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeff…0390backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…aa32backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…d249backed Yes | 12c | 198.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…ac70backed Yes | 9c | 195$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2323…e4b5backed Yes | 6c | 191.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…d2acbacked Yes | 8c | 191.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Yes | 8c | 186.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…dc73backed Yes | 10c | 186.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…5688backed Yes | 8c | 184.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e82…587dbacked Yes | 7c | 183.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…25bdbacked Yes | 15c | 181$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf771…22a5backed Yes | 12c | 175.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…d88cbacked Yes | 9c | 174.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b0…2189backed Yes | 6c | 172.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…8090backed Yes | 15c | 169.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce3…c31abacked Yes | 9c | 165.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4146…8d09backed Yes | 11c | 163.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e0…2a03backed Yes | 12c | 160.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…cf60backed Yes | 9c | 156.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…019abacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3588…c935backed Yes | 11c | 148.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bc…eb11backed Yes | 11c | 144.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…dab4backed Yes | 8c | 142.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d49…6638backed Yes | 11c | 137.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…48c9backed Yes | 8c | 132.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…d74bbacked Yes | 12c | 124.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1120…3593backed Yes | 17c | 122.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…50c2backed Yes | 11c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…0944backed Yes | 29c | 117.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a7…7651backed Yes | 13c | 116.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…6e05backed Yes | 13c | 107.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 106$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?this page
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?No won
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?No won
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?No won
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?No won
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.