TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c9b…e768

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+566.8%+$496.84
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.58
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.14
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+159.6%+$57.74
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.08
Colombia to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.46
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.31
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.03
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.28
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.5
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$19.02
Will Ben Midgley win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.04
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$12.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$3.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$13.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.