NBA · resolved market
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e5cbfff0ba6516b9d43852f745df324ce0e6ea3c68b8dff95fa14203fd2a511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a82…4a0ebacked Yes | 33c | 7,228$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 65c | 6,500$4,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.78 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes | 10c | 3,801$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.02 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Yes | 14c | 2,764$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 10c | 1,800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.59 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 63c | 1,630$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.49 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 46c | 1,541$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 79c | 1,378$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.07 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 51c | 1,263$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 45c | 1,247$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.6 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 1,202$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.92 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 24c | 1,116$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.06 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…55b8backed Yes | 4c | 826.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +93%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 36c | 758.77$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…0b5fbacked Yes | 15c | 674.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 586.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed No | 62c | 549.55$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb048…7f07backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed No | 75c | 497.7$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…710bbacked Yes | 68c | 484.22$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed No | 33c | 461.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.79 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 33c | 459.81$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 57c | 454$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…be17backed No | 54c | 448.02$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 42cpaid | +117%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 397.63$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 46c | 382.1$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 30c | 380.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…9722backed No | 42c | 359.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +347.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 80c | 351.9$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…bfbcbacked Yes | 30c | 329.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 66c | 326.5$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 69c | 326$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…e801backed Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 46c | 316$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146e…ab0bbacked Yes | 9c | 312.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +265.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…ff9ebacked Yes | 50c | 293.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +400%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f64…14a5backed Yes | 19c | 270.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 44c | 269$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Yes | 10c | 267.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 78c | 253.28$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…60b9backed Yes | 14c | 249.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 54c | 249$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…68e0backed Yes | 67c | 245$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 54c | 244.4$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…c7debacked No | 36c | 234.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…5270backed Yes | 9c | 225.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b6…1bccbacked Yes | 15c | 222.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…dbc2backed Yes | 65c | 196.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 24c | 185.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 38c | 184.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 36cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 63c | 184.09$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked No | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 43c | 180.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 172$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 51c | 171.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 68c | 166.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 41c | 166.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 29c | 161.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 47c | 158$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 147.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…ffcbbacked No | 36c | 146.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 79c | 139.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af1…6b27backed No | 48c | 134.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Yes | 58c | 120.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed No | 40c | 120.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…8eb0backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 119.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e3…881abacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 66c | 107$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…7cd9backed Yes | 47c | 106.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0136…9cb6backed Yes | 20c | 101.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…b33cbacked Yes | 57c | 100.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +318.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…2dd8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…456ebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…8ffdbacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…31e2backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…4a18backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed No | 53c | 97.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 95.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…8451backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…5138backed Yes | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 73c | 86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 44c | 86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…ace5backed No | 43c | 72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…8a5abacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 32c | 64.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 67c | 64.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…9c24backed Yes | 45c | 63.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 25c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?this page
- Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?No won
- Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?No won
- Will LeBron's next contract average over $50M per year?No won
- Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.