TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x146e…ab0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.3
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+704.8%+$551.72
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.67
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.53
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$21.86
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+852.4%+$179
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+265.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+1,192.9%+$459.39
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will LeBron's next contract average $10M-$15M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+4,697.1%+$1,272.9
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.23
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.73
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.18
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.49
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$549.89
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Canada vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.89
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-55%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+475.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$200.37
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+525%+$262.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+2,677.8%+$289.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$30.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Will Conor McGregor Fight in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.