NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x434719e5e807306706d17205f2bc15e4901184084c4e8ea472127f47a365bbdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,456,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,740,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,456,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,916 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 23c | 594,881$134,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460,522.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Timberwolves | 22c | 380,000$83,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296,951.35 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 27c | 279,503$76,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203,008.93 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Timberwolves | 23c | 273,997$62,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211,582.48 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves | 20c | 255,407$50,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,802.8 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Spurs | 78c | 230,000$179,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179,399.88 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Spurs | 77c | 221,153$170,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,288.16 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Spurs | 72c | 192,069$138,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138,289.33 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Spurs | 77c | 171,178$132,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,590.93 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 52c | 145,136$76,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,140.34 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Timberwolves | 24c | 116,817$27,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,165.91 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Spurs | 71c | 116,711$83,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,268.07 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spurs | 77c | 112,412$86,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,256.01 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs | 60c | 102,023$61,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,627.95 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Spurs | 80c | 100,000$80,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,999.98 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 86,353$19,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,160.57 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 85,045$18,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,232.48 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Spurs | 76c | 82,195$62,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,468.46 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Spurs | 66c | 80,575$52,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,816.33 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Spurs | 52c | 73,205$38,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,108.49 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Spurs | 38c | 69,265$26,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,191.93 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…2194backed Timberwolves | 25c | 65,764$16,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,348.7 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Timberwolves | 14c | 54,951$7,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,257.63 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Spurs | 78c | 54,694$42,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,661.32 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Timberwolves | 19c | 53,865$10,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,587.9 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Spurs | 77c | 52,499$40,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,424.45 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Timberwolves | 17c | 51,974$8,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,138.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Spurs | 78c | 50,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,000 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs | 79c | 50,000$39,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,500 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Spurs | 77c | 36,737$28,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,287.11 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Spurs | 70c | 34,878$24,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,442.81 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Timberwolves | 22c | 32,386$7,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,345.48 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Spurs | 75c | 31,019$23,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,227.96 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 15c | 30,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 30,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,100 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Timberwolves | 22c | 30,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,300 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 29,334$4,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,080.32 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Spurs | 73c | 28,559$20,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,849.75 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 27,620$8,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,707.2 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Spurs | 79c | 27,380$21,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,669.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 67c | 26,391$17,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,758.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs | 66c | 25,432$16,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,775.77 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 24,836$5,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,875.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 72c | 23,312$16,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,869.59 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Timberwolves | 22c | 22,727$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,727.27 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Timberwolves | 22c | 22,241$4,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,348.09 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Spurs | 75c | 22,178$16,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,711.93 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Timberwolves | 25c | 21,419$5,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,048.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Timberwolves | 16c | 21,267$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,864.17 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 23c | 21,248$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,361.09 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Spurs | 71c | 20,728$14,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,671.96 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Spurs | 77c | 20,271$15,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,564.14 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 78c | 20,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Spurs | 55c | 19,617$10,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,763.43 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Spurs | 27c | 18,746$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972.91 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 18,738$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,413.28 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Spurs | 55c | 17,990$9,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,875.8 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs | 76c | 17,949$13,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,697.78 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Spurs | 66c | 17,817$11,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,756.47 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Timberwolves | 23c | 17,609$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,558.7 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Timberwolves | 27c | 17,539$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,818.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Timberwolves | 22c | 17,508$3,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,692.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…2cfdbacked Timberwolves | 19c | 17,450$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,084.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…ac37backed Timberwolves | 29c | 16,666$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,832.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Spurs | 76c | 16,537$12,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,568.12 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Spurs | 46c | 16,515$7,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,565 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 16,300$3,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,998 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Timberwolves | 14c | 16,286$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,006.3 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Spurs | 80c | 15,600$12,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,430.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…2624backed Spurs | 66c | 15,502$10,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,280.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 77c | 14,990$11,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,541.96 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Timberwolves | 24c | 14,807$3,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,253.16 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed Spurs | 78c | 14,711$11,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,426.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Spurs | 44c | 14,399$6,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,321.83 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Spurs | 72c | 14,269$10,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,222 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Spurs | 75c | 13,575$10,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,181.21 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs | 74c | 13,379$9,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,880.42 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Spurs | 76c | 13,158$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Spurs | 68c | 12,896$8,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,769.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 12c | 12,707$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,182.16 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Timberwolves | 29c | 12,617$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,934.53 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 78c | 12,190$9,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,461.45 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Timberwolves | 25c | 11,942$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,956.38 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Timberwolves | 16c | 11,931$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,022.25 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Timberwolves | 47c | 11,537$5,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,121.42 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…f964backed Timberwolves | 22c | 11,364$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,863.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Timberwolves | 21c | 11,300$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,977.97 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d215backed Timberwolves | 18c | 11,112$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,111.81 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Timberwolves | 29c | 11,000$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.84 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 52c | 10,379$5,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.03 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Timberwolves | 16c | 10,313$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,662.5 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…755bbacked Spurs | 76c | 10,152$7,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,715.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Spurs | 68c | 10,145$6,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,920.48 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Timberwolves | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Spurs | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Timberwolves | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,899.94 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Spurs | 80c | 9,989$7,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,952.16 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f3…c9d2backed Timberwolves | 24c | 9,800$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,476 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 78c | 9,615$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Timberwolves | 22c | 9,556$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,453.99 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spursthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.