TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs46c6,202$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.1169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Timberwolves57c5,255$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.7838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Timberwolves54c4,087$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.0417147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Spurs46c3,820$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.2116743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs43c2,853$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves53c2,589$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.64,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd25…7d10backed Timberwolves53c1,891$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.77642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Timberwolves56c1,796$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.4140451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs19c1,788$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.751,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Timberwolves54c1,666$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.266250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Spurs47c1,580$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.69958.6%58 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs43c1,474$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.091,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ed…5dc7backed Spurs43c1,340$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.1940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Spurs43c1,284$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.1218444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs23c1,264$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.771,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Timberwolves56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Timberwolves54c894.66$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.7664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Timberwolves52c659.56$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves54c647.86$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Spurs47c592.96$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6735546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Timberwolves52c541.11$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8624247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Spurs44c483.94$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9411864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs45c418.19$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.246,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…20e0backed Timberwolves48c406.21$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves60c395.77$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.853,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs51c364.62$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.011,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs47c359.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.21,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Spurs16c341.88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.81,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs46c280.66$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.391,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Spurs50c280$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Timberwolves73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9722844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Spurs42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Spurs43c234.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0478652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs15c209.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.442,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Spurs48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006844.1%30 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fdb…6404backed Spurs51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053141.8%222 W · 309 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Spurs17c190.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3121849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Spurs7c179.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5818835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs19c161.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Spurs44c150.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1976247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Spurs43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs46c138.34$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.921,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c3…c2e6backed Spurs44c109.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Spurs43c104$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7210941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Spurs45c100.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Spurs48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4825651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs51c93.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Spurs42c80.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.738354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Spurs41c74.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves57c74.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.921,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Timberwolves70c71.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6517852.2%93 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.871752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c1…6701backed Spurs44c59.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.42934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fc…bcfdbacked Spurs47c57.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cbd…a3a4backed Spurs44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258050%40 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Spurs47c56.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.591,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Timberwolves57c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.623445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Spurs41c47.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7916020%32 W · 128 L-27.0wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x8429…642fbacked Timberwolves54c45.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Spurs32c45.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.699157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Spurs45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0011…4cbabacked Spurs45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205945.8%27 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Spurs45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Spurs47c42.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0319445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3c…eed1backed Timberwolves70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.911063.6%70 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Timberwolves56c38.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2333556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Timberwolves48c37.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.59235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6b…7178backed Spurs44c37.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454e…f684backed Timberwolves54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.044546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Timberwolves56c35.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7221056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf12…db75backed Timberwolves56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d85…3a04backed Timberwolves59c30.37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.576336.5%23 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c78…e701backed Timberwolves59c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.972955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.