NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x161d653201e065f0f151a3bd2feb26cf81bb501b0e9b12592914d1fc9ef83f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $818,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $820,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $818,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 51c | 476,274$242,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242,767.23 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 292,354$142,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,854.87 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 229,806$112,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,200.91 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Spurs | 51c | 130,000$66,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,299.92 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Timberwolves | 49c | 53,969$26,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,524.19 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 37,428$18,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,093.38 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 52c | 28,846$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 22,154$10,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,298.54 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 21,387$10,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,817.94 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 49c | 20,021$9,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,711 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 52c | 14,423$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 50c | 8,491$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 48c | 6,852$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,562.91 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…644fbacked Spurs | 51c | 5,785$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Spurs | 33c | 5,068$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.48 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Spurs | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Spurs | 48c | 4,139$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.84 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Timberwolves | 46c | 4,000$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.98 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Spurs | 50c | 4,000$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.99 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 49c | 3,586$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,215$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.88 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Spurs | 2c | 3,053$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3201…6634backed Timberwolves | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,979$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.72 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Spurs | 16c | 2,796$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.3 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.9 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Timberwolves | 66c | 2,419$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.57 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,090$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.88 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,030$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.4 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,024$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.96 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,955$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.63 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 50c | 1,906$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.11 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 50c | 1,719$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.44 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Spurs | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.55 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Spurs | 17c | 1,302$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.41 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,189$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 60c | 1,160$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.72 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 48c | 1,118$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.84 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,096$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.15 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Spurs | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 26c | 960.14$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.49 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…685abacked Timberwolves | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 808.33$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.33 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…563cbacked Spurs | 44c | 790.74$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.9 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.38per pick | 45cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Spurs | 48c | 760.1$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.09 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves | 52c | 730.79$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.33 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Timberwolves | 55c | 719.04$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.57 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 715$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.89 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Timberwolves | 50c | 639.04$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.52 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Timberwolves | 68c | 631.1$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.95 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Timberwolves | 50c | 580$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Timberwolves | 54c | 562.76$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.87 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 42c | 549.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Spurs | 27c | 512.42$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Spurs | 52c | 505.96$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.1 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 486.14$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.79 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…7ea0backed Spurs | 51c | 484.81$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.99 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018b…0115backed Spurs | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Spurs | 52c | 470.52$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.67 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs | 15c | 457$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Timberwolves | 47c | 456.94$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.94 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs | 15c | 440.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Spurs | 46c | 427.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.86 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Spurs | 46c | 423.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.89 | 185 | 57.3%106 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 51c | 412$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.14 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 403.16$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 402.29$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.17 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Spurs | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Timberwolves | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Timberwolves | 54c | 381.79$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.94 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Timberwolves | 51c | 379.89$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.14 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Spurs | 11c | 373.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Timberwolves | 49c | 367.64$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Timberwolves | 49c | 365.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Spurs | 52c | 345.29$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Spurs | 21c | 342.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Spurs | 21c | 342.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Spurs | 52c | 336.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.23 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Spurs | 16c | 335$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Timberwolves | 49c | 330$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Timberwolves | 68c | 320.51$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Timberwolves | 67c | 305.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…c916backed Spurs | 52c | 302.65$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a64…3c0abacked Timberwolves | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Spurs | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Spurs | 15c | 235.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Timberwolves | 55c | 232.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.