NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdb3e92be64273cf839bf1d65b97c20c53388510e3e1c19dbf4d53e19724f4e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $609,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $641,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 300,000$146,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,999.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Spurs | 50c | 61,812$30,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,906 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Spurs | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 54c | 59,517$32,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,139.4 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Spurs | 50c | 47,623$23,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,811.5 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Spurs | 52c | 42,939$22,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,287.96 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Spurs | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 20,703$9,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,972.85 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Spurs | 48c | 20,574$9,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,882.86 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Timberwolves | 45c | 20,318$9,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,174.85 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Spurs | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Timberwolves | 52c | 18,452$9,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,856.88 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Spurs | 50c | 13,654$6,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,827.09 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 52c | 12,062$6,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213.24 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Timberwolves | 48c | 11,695$5,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,081.4 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Timberwolves | 47c | 10,570$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,570.06 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 51c | 9,465$4,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,867.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 49c | 8,864$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.89 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Spurs | 7c | 8,857$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.44 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs | 55c | 8,272$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.46 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Spurs | 53c | 8,100$4,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Timberwolves | 56c | 7,490$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.94 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 6,685$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.2 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 47c | 6,332$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.87 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.96 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 55c | 5,402$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.27 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Timberwolves | 65c | 5,086$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.2 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Timberwolves | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.97 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs | 55c | 4,316$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.07 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Spurs | 55c | 4,123$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.63 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Timberwolves | 47c | 4,050$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.58 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,959$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 23c | 3,855$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.83 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 3,820$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.57 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 3,534$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.64 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 46c | 3,492$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.34 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 3,410$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.33 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Spurs | 52c | 3,352$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Spurs | 30c | 3,227$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.47 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,980$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spurs | 53c | 2,915$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,828$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.92 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs | 39c | 2,572$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4240…7a20backed Spurs | 52c | 2,430$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 45c | 2,365$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.77 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs | 35c | 2,274$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.26 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Spurs | 52c | 2,229$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Spurs | 8c | 2,110$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Spurs | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Timberwolves | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.1 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 6c | 1,941$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Spurs | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…644fbacked Spurs | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Spurs | 55c | 1,772$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.44 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,708$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.81 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,600$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.97 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Spurs | 54c | 1,488$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.64 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Spurs | 55c | 1,456$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Spurs | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…5e27backed Spurs | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked Spurs | 38c | 1,048$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Spurs | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Spurs | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 66c | 960.62$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.83 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Spurs | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…ffa9backed Spurs | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Spurs | 53c | 886.53$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.86 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs | 44c | 804.19$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.97 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Spurs | 51c | 797$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.21 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 796.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.23 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 791.84$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.84 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves | 52c | 733.61$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.71 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…1a8fbacked Spurs | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…141bbacked Spurs | 55c | 708.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…7a1fbacked Spurs | 29c | 652.28$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.16 | 183 | 37.2%68 W · 115 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 631.72$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.42 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Spurs | 48c | 627.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Spurs | 37c | 594.41$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Spurs | 21c | 573.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Timberwolves | 51c | 566.98$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.82 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5e00backed Spurs | 31c | 550.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Spurs | 52c | 548$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.96 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Spurs | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Timberwolves | 59c | 527.2$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.84 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Spurs | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Spurs | 55c | 486.98$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.84 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Spurs | 53c | 472.64$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Spurs | 50c | 441$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Spurs | 50c | 437.65$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Timberwolves | 47c | 430$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Spurs | 54c | 430$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Spurs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Spurs | 32c | 408.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.79 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.