TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,342 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Over8c9,864$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.572,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over0c5,829$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c4,223$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.6555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Under54c2,890$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.4916555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over9c1,945$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.692,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Under54c1,806$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.758750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under57c1,755$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.2640451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over4c1,616$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c1,403$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.724,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Under54c1,398$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.1521957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over46c1,322$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.111,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over27c1,091$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.282,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over44c1,090$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.65839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Over46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over9c1,082$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3725150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Over47c979.62$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4641855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under54c887.48$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.248451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over46c880.15$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.8765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Under57c793.34$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.345257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Over7c745.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over28c656.66$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.532,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over30c640.87$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.273,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Under56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2206352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under54c498.9$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.611,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Under54c498.61$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8330641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under54c496.3$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.314049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x942d…896cbacked Under73c446.83$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.712755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over37c443.47$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3946959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed Under69c434.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9311645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over8c433.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5859255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9956…44e0backed Under69c429.16$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.381566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Over7c424.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.082839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c377.67$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.173,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x891a…1d79backed Under54c371$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.711070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Over9c334.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1311057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Under70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.717146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under72c276.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.237953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over25c276$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Under77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7411450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68ee…f785backed Over36c249.22$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.72837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fadabacked Under54c240.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.746139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over9c238.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8125958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Under54c230$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.811858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under78c227.47$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2b…ca9fbacked Under54c226$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.96850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Over7c213.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4211946.2%55 W · 64 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over8c192.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4120946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Under54c191.67$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1713938.8%54 W · 85 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Under54c182.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9512254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Under55c182.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4314552.4%76 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fb…e26abacked Under56c178.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.883545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c176.66$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.261,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under54c171$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6610750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under54c158$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6822351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Under55c141.82$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.822030%6 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under54c136$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5612450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under54c136$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9936153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over40c127.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over43c126.12$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.232,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under80c125.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1324159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Over46c112.23$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.713047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec17…44bcbacked Under69c109.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.423053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over26c103.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274645.7%21 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under54c102$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9226147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over46c101.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.511,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4625651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c92.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under55c83.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8521056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over46c79.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.551,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Under54c79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3414753.1%78 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under55c69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0520249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over37c62.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.236051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.234255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over46c56.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0521149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over25c55.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.962047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9561253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c61…5d06backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.527945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over27c47.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9223741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c99…d91abacked Under56c46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.242437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1529…ba87backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1814753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a28…1813backed Over31c38.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.97166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.28per pick34cpaid-78.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6be8…f449backed Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.049644.8%43 W · 53 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x258b…270ebacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0417748%85 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.029854.1%53 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over47c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2745251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Over43c36.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.634452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over37c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4455846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over46c34.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9817043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over38c34.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210761.7%66 W · 41 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bba…e3d4backed Under73c34.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.451540%6 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1f7…6db6backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f96…d1b2backed Over38c30.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8527354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Under54c27.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.435453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Under54c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5840048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under54c22.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2627050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.