NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8583e8049bb8096f4995fd20efc7cd34ee2d6a045b0d69042ae001042945430d

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $158,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $153,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,905 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under	50c	21,617$10,809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,808.7	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	49c	14,934$7,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,616.3	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over	51c	11,950$6,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,094.48	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Over	10c	5,743$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.3	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over	4c	5,338$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.51	144	38.9%56 W · 88 L	+32.5wins	+0.23per pick	16cpaid	+228.3%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	9c	5,256$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.14	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over	9c	4,253$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.77	188	35.1%66 W · 122 L	+24.5wins	+0.13per pick	22cpaid	+116.5%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	49c	2,770$1,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,418.49	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	47c	2,580$1,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,373.5	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under	44c	2,382$1,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,333.85	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	56c	2,079$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,157.21	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	45c	2,063$928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,135.06	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over	33c	1,982$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	25c	1,901$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.88	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Over	54c	1,850$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	50c	1,721$861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.5	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over	11c	1,700$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.73	362	43.9%159 W · 203 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over	19c	1,538$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.15	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Over	55c	1,508$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.25	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Over	51c	1,470$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	242	47.1%114 W · 128 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over	54c	1,402$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over	51c	1,350$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.5	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over	3c	1,320$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.4	312	22.1%69 W · 243 L	+14.9wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+79.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	19c	1,274$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.55	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	46c	1,104$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$593.97	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7305…1cb7backed Over	55c	1,014$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.52	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-4.8wins	-0.26per pick	54cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Over	54c	930$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.2	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under	46c	928.7$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.5	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Under	73c	811.66$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.25	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	53c	786$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.97	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over	10c	774.5$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.48	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+21.5wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+32%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Over	21c	755.06$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.46	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	46c	699.99$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over	34c	694.77$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.62	263	36.5%96 W · 167 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	53c	694.5$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.79	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under	47c	680$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.4	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	16c	665.17$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.7	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Over	16c	618.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	164	29.9%49 W · 115 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over	58c	581.94$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.74	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over	15c	533.33$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	288	38.2%110 W · 178 L	-17.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Over	55c	526.91$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.8	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	42c	503.57$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.99	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	5c	501.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.22	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Over	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	195	47.2%92 W · 103 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under	43c	499.99$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Over	52c	482.14$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe641…0f63backed Over	51c	420$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.2	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Over	24c	415.61$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.31	50	56%28 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under	45c	407.63$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.26	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over	18c	403.83$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.69	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over	18c	403.83$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.69	210	46.2%97 W · 113 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Over	18c	403.83$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.69	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-11.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	358	49.7%178 W · 180 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Under	46c	399.98$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.99	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	-12.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Under	46c	399.96$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.98	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over	41c	388.62$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	253	60.1%152 W · 101 L	+26.2wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over	14c	359.36$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.88	148	45.3%67 W · 81 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	200	55.5%111 W · 89 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Over	10c	321.62$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.51	110	57.3%63 W · 47 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over	24c	309.11$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.73	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under	48c	304.79$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.79	96	53.1%51 W · 45 L	+5.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	355	46.5%165 W · 190 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Over	26c	299.99$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Over	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	786	39.2%308 W · 478 L	+27.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3983…4550backed Over	54c	238.11$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.66	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked Over	56c	232.14$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under	48c	231.06$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.06	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under	67c	209.12$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.12	228	44.7%102 W · 126 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	258	50%129 W · 129 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b6b…6b56backed Under	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked Over	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6544…4b74backed Over	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe132…ca8dbacked Over	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1973…9fb5backed Under	61c	200$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.31per pick	49cpaid	+112.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	52c	197.22$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.56	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Over	19c	197$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.43	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	18c	192.95$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.07	237	41.4%98 W · 139 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32f9…9725backed Over	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	127	53.5%68 W · 59 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9792…f790backed Over	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	241	59.8%144 W · 97 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over	52c	184.53$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.96	176	37.5%66 W · 110 L	-16.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over	18c	183.56$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.04	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Over	10c	183$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	130	36.2%47 W · 83 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Over	56c	178.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	296	35.8%106 W · 190 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	293	45.7%134 W · 159 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under	59c	169$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.56	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Over	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	143	30.8%44 W · 99 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over	23c	155.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.35	443	47.2%209 W · 234 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Under	48c	147.92$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.92	145	49%71 W · 74 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34de…8e6bbacked Over	41c	143$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.4	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Under	70c	141.28$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.77	78	57.7%45 W · 33 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over	54c	138.89$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over	10c	137$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	804	40.3%324 W · 480 L	+27.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5this page
1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Timberwolves won
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 17.5No won
Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5No won
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Timberwolves won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
Timberwolves vs. SpursTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event