NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1b152c6293172196de9980438a0d6f77dee13ef40b044d80518ff2f074a052a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Under | 48c | 52,031$24,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,057.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 52c | 49,662$25,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,824.01 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…37aebacked Over | 56c | 17,547$9,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,886.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 18c | 15,738$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.09 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 44c | 8,679$3,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860.07 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 4,908$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.73 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 76c | 4,540$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.82 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Under | 49c | 3,520$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.2 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 7c | 3,421$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.54 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 6c | 2,688$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.55 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 2,639$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 2,635$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.14 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Under | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 51c | 1,921$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.94 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 1,566$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.76 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 45c | 1,559$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.26 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 1,468$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.06 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 40c | 1,328$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.78 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 43c | 1,302$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.14 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,134$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 42c | 1,093$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.23 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Under | 50c | 1,078$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Under | 61c | 906.94$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.19 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…0505backed Over | 50c | 849.48$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked Under | 49c | 830.82$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 825.55$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.88 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Under | 49c | 816$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 56c | 758.93$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 48c | 748.55$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.22 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 19c | 725.91$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked Under | 71c | 697.67$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.67 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 59c | 678.12$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.93 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Over | 50c | 658.32$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.16 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 50c | 620$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Over | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 551.16$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.75 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…eceabacked Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Over | 10c | 529.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 45c | 513.38$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 16c | 486$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Over | 39c | 486$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.54 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 18c | 484.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Under | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 49c | 434.03$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.46 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 416.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 20c | 409.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 404$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…9cfabacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 30c | 377.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 53c | 374.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 12c | 368.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 17c | 352.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Over | 19c | 313.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 51c | 291.81$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.82 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…b6dabacked Over | 56c | 275.66$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 57c | 264.97$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 48c | 262.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 45c | 256.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 10c | 241.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…c39cbacked Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed Over | 51c | 228.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 227.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 57c | 221.05$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 58c | 220.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 51c | 215$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 54c | 204.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Under | 45c | 203.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.71 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d2…3cf0backed Over | 50c | 201.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…5a00backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Over | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…114cbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 73c | 194.88$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 181.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Over | 8c | 169.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 45c | 165.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 163.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Under | 45c | 153.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 11c | 137.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Over | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 32c | 127$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.