NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15ddd8748b6bac1b2e4779a530d31cf6ec43e28752669219e6658badc40d2358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 51c | 40,815$20,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,004.25 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 49c | 25,102$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,299.9 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 49c | 12,116$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,915.75 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 7,736$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.47 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 6,477$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,108.89 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 52c | 3,233$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.07 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 48c | 1,897$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.61 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 949.31$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.45 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Under | 76c | 658.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 543.17$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.13 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 48c | 449.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 48c | 439.69$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…5136backed Under | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 52c | 377.33$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.12 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 44c | 362.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.39 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Over | 15c | 332.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 19c | 260.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…dee1backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 24c | 225$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 224.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 218.04$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Over | 48c | 216.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 31c | 180.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 180.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 11c | 155$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 24c | 150.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Under | 77c | 140.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 15c | 138.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 48c | 105.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf9…dde4backed Over | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 52c | 95.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Under | 75c | 90.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 52c | 87.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 82.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 68c | 73.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdb…3e20backed Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Under | 52c | 68.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 52c | 67.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Under | 52c | 67.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 46c | 60.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…8e6bbacked Under | 66c | 57.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 26c | 53.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 49.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Under | 51c | 49.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 52c | 46.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…f27abacked Under | 69c | 33.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf228…fbfabacked Under | 51c | 21.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 49c | 21.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Under | 52c | 19.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…d23fbacked Under | 75c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Timberwolves won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.