TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$430,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$459,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,360 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x95b7…d633backed Yes29c24,315$7,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,225.233336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No39c17,026$6,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,673.01560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No73c15,185$11,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,157.861952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes14c14,828$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,752.47825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No66c13,767$9,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,125.21540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed No70c9,427$6,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes27c9,276$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,737.864348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No21c8,223$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.1924642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fd…c0bebacked Yes25c8,057$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,042.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+273.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes28c7,617$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,492.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+367.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes20c7,171$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,750.49887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+149.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5d79…33e4backed Yes23c7,118$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,508.38875%6 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+164.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8511…7ce7backed Yes30c6,911$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,837.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+66.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes50c6,844$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,423.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes27c5,859$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,288.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+273%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes38c5,789$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.83129%9 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes19c5,314$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,279.62740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf45…c508backed Yes24c4,670$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+104.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No50c4,599$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.9429637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Yes19c4,448$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+160.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes30c4,106$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Yes20c3,957$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,171.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+408.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes30c3,100$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.941723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.6wins-0.33per pick57cpaid-41.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked Yes16c2,977$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.93683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+167%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Yes51c2,852$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.891952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes19c2,778$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.22630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…e467backed No75c2,528$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes78c2,484$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes23c2,207$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,706.714245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes16c2,058$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+280.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes30c2,057$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+350.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No54c2,036$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.231643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ba…f6a2backed No75c2,004$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.1730%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes15c2,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7004845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aae…36abbacked Yes30c1,879$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf76a…b506backed Yes19c1,859$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+431.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Yes17c1,800$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.994753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Yes17c1,800$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.995251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Yes39c1,600$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.31955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed Yes29c1,478$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+139.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46b1…3170backed Yes55c1,408$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.47450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561f…e4fabacked Yes23c1,360$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+119.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes28c1,229$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.33655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No48c1,210$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.162441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No69c1,127$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.331850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed No76c1,071$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed No80c1,009$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.26540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes33c1,007$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.9966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed Yes14c1,000$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No63c998.99$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.663847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes45c997.13$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.733141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes72c993.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.691560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf948…0931backed No71c958.55$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No51c938.34$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.75846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed No43c936$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes27c876.28$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+173.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Yes16c856.94$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Yes24c825$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa5…7621backed Yes23c789.72$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+105.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No78c769.87$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.8813250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No10c676.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.021656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c640.63$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45930448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd75a…fdecbacked No71c632.39$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44920%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Yes17c590.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.041888.9%16 W · 2 L+4.9wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+83.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x511f…be4fbacked Yes43c577.14$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Yes55c571.16$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes16c559.17$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.73857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No66c554.59$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.7210938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes19c538.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.37944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+91.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No72c532.95$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.7312957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Yes19c532.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.793100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+343.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes31c525.83$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.34555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c504$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.8462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3596…6c81backed Yes20c499.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes16c459.83$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.353354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…47cdbacked Yes17c409.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+484.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes14c374.66$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.146943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No22c358$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.765829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No29c353.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.962536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No51c341.97$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8226346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c320$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.626354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed Yes22c316.54$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.96742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick15cpaid+82.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12918847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No74c276$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.245261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes28c275.53$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.322147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes25c259.32$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.63534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c250.05$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0326041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x146e…ab0bbacked Yes19c247.37$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+475.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes36c242.94$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.49333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9b…7a04backed Yes17c216.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+190.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Yes18c215.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick39cpaid+159.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes17c210.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.445238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee2…c654backed No75c201.33$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15120%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No66c197.44$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c176.89$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3812647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b6b…280bbacked No70c174.4$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+80.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb1…1998backed Yes21c165.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+374.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c165$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8646450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.