TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$334,992
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$364,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,992 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes0c63,421$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.071723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.6wins-0.33per pick57cpaid-41.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed Yes0c33,333$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.331127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes38c29,999$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,399.668944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No65c28,094$18,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,896.562466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No62c10,141$6,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.733756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c7,248$4,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.1162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293e…4717backed Yes2c6,376$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed No64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c5,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes3c4,883$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+81.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes2c4,213$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5424642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed Yes1c4,024$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.38742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick15cpaid+82.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes35c3,571$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c3,505$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.7852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes32c3,304$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.235257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c2,720$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.611,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes36c2,442$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.8630448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x594d…059dbacked Yes2c2,290$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes3c2,103$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.851850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Yes2c2,062$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.651435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7202138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes2c2,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.052441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes4c1,473$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.623154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes35c1,377$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.8222745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe461…c5aebacked Yes2c1,326$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes8c1,323$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.322544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes34c1,193$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7212957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes35c1,193$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.553135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.993148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.992944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes36c948.34$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.412738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes35c893.94$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.8812647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes8c892$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.781435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Yes35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c844.52$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.6587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes35c821.85$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5426041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf24…a5f3backed Yes1c742.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes35c695.21$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3223342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No63c648.31$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8112963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd4bf…e97bbacked Yes12c636.93$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes32c620.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes7c546.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6426346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No62c526.13$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.934751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a67…16dfbacked Yes2c506.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No62c462.92$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9135157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes8c388.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.732941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No73c362.42$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9329637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No62c360$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.813844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes30c355.55$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.25846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1147949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes36c286.76$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2326354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes36c278$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.081330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Yes19c265.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes7c257.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+55%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes33c242.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes34c227$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8246450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes37c213.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.977149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes24c211$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2333145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes35c205$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2513250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes31c204.71$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No67c184.63$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.610938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No62c161.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2712367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4bd…0ce0backed No67c152.7$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes8c150.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.472147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked No67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1066…a2cabacked Yes38c145.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes33c140.95$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0518046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed No65c136.5$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.321266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No63c135.01$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.95757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes33c119.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5518155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a35…a72fbacked No64c108$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46b1…3170backed Yes33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b11…a9cabacked Yes12c101.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3827748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes33c99.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.995644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No62c89.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.693268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73ed…06d5backed No63c77.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No62c74.85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.354951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No64c72.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.972259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb96…bdf0backed No63c67.87$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No62c62.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.533357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes28c45.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6217817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+44.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Yes34c41.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6419…0f53backed Yes36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.21020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-55.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.84050%20 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No62c39.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf67…9fccbacked Yes38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No67c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5515951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No72c33.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.44348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed No63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed No63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.