TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3596…6c81

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick12cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.99
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+77.3%+$35.2
Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Ousmane Dembélé be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.11
Will a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.96
Will a club from Asia win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.81
Will Monterrey win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.56
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+1,512.9%+$309.54
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+363.8%+$275.5
Will Racing Bulls finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.3
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.08
Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.63
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$915.21
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Italy GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
F1: Will Lawson finish ahead of Tsunoda in the Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Williams record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+524.1%+$262.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$147.99
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Juventus win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.49
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Marozsánbacked Marozsán · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Monchengladbach beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.