F1 · resolved market
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x139f5f7446529c29f2d4c5c0832cde5b266c5fad61b08d9a8b59eef558e4ba06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $394,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33c1…9648backed Yes | 1c | 37,000$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 1c | 17,177$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…3542backed Yes | 1c | 16,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 2c | 15,720$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.72 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 10,500$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…e0d4backed Yes | 1c | 7,293$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fb…36c8backed Yes | 2c | 6,300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 4c | 6,284$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.68 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,573$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,799$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 4,310$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 2c | 3,303$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 1c | 3,054$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…ad9fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,884$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…1807backed Yes | 2c | 1,503$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 1c | 1,338$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…15babacked Yes | 1c | 1,333$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…6aafbacked Yes | 8c | 1,180$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe632…6034backed Yes | 2c | 1,041$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,034$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 1c | 999.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c09cbacked Yes | 14c | 900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…c09cbacked Yes | 3c | 869.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…1efbbacked Yes | 1c | 853.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…0309backed Yes | 3c | 653.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5990…2576backed Yes | 8c | 647.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…9f7ebacked Yes | 2c | 646$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe376…756bbacked Yes | 4c | 589.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 536.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…76e3backed Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…52b9backed Yes | 6c | 469.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…35c0backed Yes | 4c | 378.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 5c | 371.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264e…a686backed Yes | 6c | 310.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…f2b9backed Yes | 12c | 220$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…6c81backed Yes | 14c | 210$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…8474backed Yes | 19c | 197.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 13c | 196.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…c77bbacked Yes | 12c | 188.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…564ebacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb282…1267backed Yes | 16c | 154.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…8fa5backed Yes | 18c | 113.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb3…3739backed Yes | 14c | 108.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a7…84a8backed Yes | 18c | 99.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f8…d7aabacked Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…e7eebacked Yes | 14c | 77.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 14c | 70.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked No | 47c | 65.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.30per pick | 17cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03c3…66a6backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 48c | 20.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?this page
- F1 season canceled or other team wins?No won
- Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes won
- Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.