F1 · resolved market
Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4bdeaca83b4267ee2dabe87b9c1ba41ce0406965e47d19bcaf791804f7c2e73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $628,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 114,593$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.43 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 40,971$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 34,999$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 25,628$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…8feebacked Yes | 0c | 13,444$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cda…60efbacked Yes | 0c | 13,444$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa610…fb95backed Yes | 0c | 13,444$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…4e99backed Yes | 0c | 13,444$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…f060backed Yes | 0c | 13,444$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…9f30backed Yes | 0c | 13,444$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3e…694ebacked Yes | 0c | 13,444$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…1718backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…b0dabacked Yes | 0c | 12,730$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…c057backed Yes | 0c | 11,130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…d53abacked Yes | 0c | 10,378$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,038$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 34c | 299.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?this page
- F1 season canceled or other team wins?No won
- Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes won
- Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.