TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$517,632
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$639,034

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $517,632 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed No13c22,410$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.329219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No2c13,805$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.673917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…d6cbbacked No4c8,854$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed No3c5,446$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150270%0 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed No4c1,857$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.561612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-82.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No1c1,557$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.781050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed No9c1,500$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13850%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No3c1,326$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.861822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes47c1,302$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.012254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes66c1,112$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.081540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3c…f92cbacked No3c1,072$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7563…ac05backed No3c1,040$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes52c1,002$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.065733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce0…6c50backed No3c981$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b16…4908backed No5c955.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0344…a65ebacked Yes51c886.81$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c01…d612backed Yes72c850.83$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No33c804.83$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.361464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No15c787.02$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.05837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+1,196.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c35…c617backed No4c782.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No4c686.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.023766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No3c670.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.073444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed No3c664.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.14540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes69c596.21$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.642951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No7c585.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.325442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0611…f3fbbacked No3c580$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No3c574.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.071323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid+178.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c88…f623backed No3c556$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c74…d2d4backed Yes58c538.27$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d4f…ce53backed No4c530$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…e6e1backed No3c527$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8852…1e2ebacked No3c527$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65d…2042backed No3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651540%6 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed No3c497.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.162114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c82…4e09backed Yes64c497$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ceb…289fbacked No3c491$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaedd…da7dbacked Yes70c483.29$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e0…f1d4backed No3c466$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe884…38edbacked No4c462$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb115…67bbbacked No3c443$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b2…625cbacked No3c430$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb59a…6791backed No3c427$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fce…1588backed No3c427$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b01…650bbacked No3c408$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b749backed No3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0439…7fe0backed No3c399$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes58c393.91$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.916136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c0…f362backed No3c389$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb907…1bd5backed No3c385$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1092…fa1abacked No3c367$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8648backed No3c354$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe306…d100backed Yes68c329.18$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11b2…7c70backed No5c321.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b3…403bbacked No6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked No17c299.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…6083backed Yes62c285.27$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+73.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f00…c318backed No5c270$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa218…773ebacked No5c242$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…6d97backed Yes52c241.11$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.412259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+41.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f55…580cbacked Yes78c215.92$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+133.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes64c212.82$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.011145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed No6c210.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41150%0 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7207…4e02backed No6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…2a89backed Yes51c197.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca57…e491backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No27c154.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.371118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-59.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf718…2a76backed Yes77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd045…8367backed Yes67c148.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.65825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63ee…d474backed Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+86.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x138e…42b4backed Yes65c146.21$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.421070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e2…31b9backed Yes50c134.96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6c…287cbacked Yes74c121.6$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.621353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c22…962ebacked No17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa662…5b38backed No42c116.63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes69c115$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4112523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed No24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd52…f190backed No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24f…e370backed No17c95.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec48…0b16backed No27c93.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Yes73c87.07$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588f…0cb6backed Yes56c81.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec01…6592backed Yes53c70.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.912646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes42c69.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.92343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb3d…f9ddbacked Yes78c63.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+136.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd713…4662backed Yes75c62.75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.671225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8876…1f1ebacked No19c56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-59%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.752420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f4…7700backed Yes40c54.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.771435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8756…c8f1backed No23c52.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes76c50.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.961729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…8fa5backed Yes43c46.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0934…f376backed Yes44c46.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.774566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc020…53c8backed Yes46c41.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc862…3fb2backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65f8…d7aabacked No32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ace…ed20backed No50c39.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe97…5ce5backed Yes46c38.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.