F1 · resolved market
Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3e9fac79dd440bba5edaefdba9036e92cf323b7e3016f9bc190ad5e923cdb5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $539,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $539,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33c1…9648backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 39,405$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 37,054$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 32,794$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 19,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,538$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5721…0da3backed Yes | 0c | 9,583$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…ebc4backed Yes | 0c | 5,749$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 3,838$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c09cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?this page
- F1 season canceled or other team wins?No won
- Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes won
- Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.