F1 · resolved market
Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaf50a25543ec2bf3a74884bcf9429d7ef927740ef88dcb3b3719eb0bbe5fb9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $970,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $970,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 113,366$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.1 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 44,998$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 32,634$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…23a6backed Yes | 0c | 24,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…af30backed Yes | 0c | 22,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…e1f3backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…8291backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a9…efd6backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0259…9c01backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…fd07backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…692dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…7ccfbacked Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…a8c4backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…b584backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2852…49c8backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe028…e3a1backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf966…fefcbacked Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b4…15f3backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7936…4c51backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…9c41backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…fd8bbacked Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…393dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8592…9926backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…91a0backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897f…8c7abacked Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1770…79c7backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255d…a0c1backed Yes | 0c | 14,514$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c1…2afcbacked Yes | 0c | 14,453$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…5432backed Yes | 0c | 13,830$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afc…d2d1backed Yes | 0c | 12,422$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…aa7ebacked Yes | 0c | 12,203$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…7f7abacked Yes | 0c | 12,018$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…476cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,574$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,978$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…6e90backed Yes | 0c | 10,908$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…d331backed Yes | 0c | 10,562$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdffd…9d80backed Yes | 0c | 10,390$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c7…f1f1backed Yes | 0c | 6,647$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c3…490bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,338$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?this page
- F1 season canceled or other team wins?No won
- Will Alpine be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes won
- Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
- Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.