Serie A · resolved market
Will Napoli win the Serie A?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9fa144b00322251e55f4f93d52baeac98da7574bf4335581f93482959f068df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $722,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $733,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $722,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16db…7c99backed No | 69c | 45,397$31,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,323.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2c…b3fbbacked Yes | 31c | 45,397$14,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,323.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 14c | 22,987$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 9c | 18,668$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Yes | 53c | 13,143$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,132.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 70c | 11,232$7,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 49c | 10,537$5,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed No | 37c | 10,172$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked No | 11c | 9,018$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed Yes | 55c | 8,810$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,951.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 40c | 8,226$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 57c | 8,154$4,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.41 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 10c | 7,839$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.85 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 38c | 7,687$2,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 35c | 6,506$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 14c | 5,107$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.82 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 62c | 5,072$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 41c | 5,062$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.37 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…dc23backed Yes | 40c | 4,859$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 29c | 4,596$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…da37backed Yes | 23c | 4,342$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 36c | 2,942$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…f1a8backed Yes | 29c | 2,741$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…d9f0backed Yes | 24c | 2,613$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3119…c8f8backed Yes | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 76c | 2,428$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Yes | 23c | 2,238$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 15c | 2,182$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed No | 22c | 2,122$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 7c | 2,007$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.09 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,951$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +605.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 12c | 1,785$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,669$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 21c | 1,650$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 17c | 1,647$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…b6b1backed Yes | 67c | 1,539$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 5c | 1,499$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 8c | 1,490$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…20d8backed Yes | 72c | 1,470$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…20f7backed Yes | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 38c | 1,388$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.82 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,365$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,292$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 35c | 1,260$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 10c | 1,249$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 1,225$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,196$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…ad99backed Yes | 17c | 1,194$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…5f3bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,114$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f6…8131backed Yes | 21c | 1,100$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…4a9bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,100$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed No | 60c | 1,079$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f30…f73bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87eb…17ffbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…30b6backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…9217backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…8bb6backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 15c | 978.53$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…1b50backed Yes | 37c | 967.21$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +166.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14e…1284backed No | 10c | 962.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 39c | 888.3$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed Yes | 35c | 847.11$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 22c | 830$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 49c | 812.82$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 32c | 800.03$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…3a56backed No | 78c | 800$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb304…3ea2backed Yes | 39c | 798.15$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 39c | 753.71$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.51 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…04e5backed Yes | 14c | 721.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +621.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 67c | 705.42$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.92 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 27c | 683.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…819bbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Yes | 40c | 624.79$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 20c | 619.82$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 29c | 612.79$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…5360backed Yes | 33c | 603.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…b291backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…b501backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9820…7049backed No | 79c | 600$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…c83ebacked No | 79c | 600$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc201…1c9ebacked Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…bfacbacked Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…eccebacked Yes | 25c | 534.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…877dbacked Yes | 39c | 526.77$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 76c | 517.91$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.74 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 31c | 517.39$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.5 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked No | 10c | 514$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes | 15c | 513.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 511.98$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x919b…e190backed Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d2…cd29backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…4040backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014b…ea88backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Napoli win the Serie A?this page
- Will AC Milan win the Serie A?No won
- Will AS Roma win the Serie A?No won
- Will Atalanta win the Serie A?No won
- Will Fiorentina win the Serie A?No won
- Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?No won
- Will Juventus win the Serie A?No won
- Will Lazio win the Serie A?No won
- Will Torino win the Serie A?No won
- Will another team win the Serie A?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.