TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta win the Serie A?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,444,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,494,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,444,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c5f…5eb7backed No80c187,000$148,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,3121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cb…c56bbacked No79c63,000$49,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e88…a2ecbacked No79c63,000$49,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,4191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x566e…da89backed Yes21c63,000$13,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,48210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76fd…5573backed Yes22c63,000$13,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,54510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef3…8eb6backed Yes19c61,000$11,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,28510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x421f…15f9backed Yes8c54,000$4,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes1c41,133$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes7c36,079$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,574.82100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c26,447$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.94522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c24,791$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes9c14,529$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.931323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes18c11,099$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.99616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f2…419cbacked Yes4c6,366$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c6,334$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes21c6,330$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.121060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+31.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes9c4,244$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes20c3,979$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.66333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+177.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes12c3,723$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes8c3,547$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.428463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb78…af37backed Yes11c3,510$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes7c3,294$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.761428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes7c3,017$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-77%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes10c3,000$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2973638.9%14 W · 22 L+8.7wins+0.24per pick15cpaid+1,305.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa2a8…595dbacked Yes1c2,745$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fa…a865backed Yes18c2,213$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc33…d2f0backed Yes12c2,063$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes5c2,006$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+81.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5197…5a93backed Yes8c1,860$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c3…0f79backed Yes11c1,800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes8c1,786$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.37560%3 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick22cpaid+105.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes8c1,722$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f9…d277backed Yes12c1,692$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes9c1,662$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.285446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7620…d9f0backed Yes28c1,474$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+84.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes17c1,436$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.529958.6%58 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes6c1,401$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd021…25b1backed Yes8c1,249$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes13c1,147$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes30c1,012$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes6c1,000$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes10c1,000$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked Yes14c1,000$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes20c1,000$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…a48bbacked Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed Yes6c870.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa487…ba6bbacked Yes3c867.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes11c865.21$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes3c844.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes10c831.09$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.186960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa22c…0bd9backed Yes8c754.07$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes9c641.12$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Yes10c607.58$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+90.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6613…144abacked Yes10c579.15$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4707…7e5bbacked Yes26c528.45$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.49633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No75c503.97$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.52540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+68.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes3c499.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x111f…af00backed Yes21c490.87$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes7c450.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+92.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89e7…0ffabacked Yes23c409.61$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08dc…6ef8backed Yes8c408.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.37425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes25c405.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f2…79d0backed Yes21c391.83$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.65540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+65.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf2c…1494backed Yes6c378.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…d813backed Yes11c368.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes5c364.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3732843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes12c364.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.11333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584c…e325backed Yes9c356.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.02450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06b0…afd6backed Yes10c342.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No67c340.42$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes21c331.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+120.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0240…28a2backed Yes17c324.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Yes18c316.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes12c305.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.03333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+48.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…c7d6backed Yes20c303.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c303.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.353218.8%6 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06ae…dff2backed Yes8c295.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes5c288.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed Yes10c287.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.431145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes6c273.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0440%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes9c270.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.049440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x012e…8913backed Yes4c268.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes17c264.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.96333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+96.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes12c255.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae71…8488backed Yes11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd283…30debacked Yes22c247$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Yes6c245.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b1…7abcbacked Yes20c243.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes21c240.84$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a4…c7c5backed Yes22c238$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555f…012bbacked Yes11c231.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.761435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ae…397bbacked Yes22c231.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes5c229.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b7…d34bbacked Yes9c227.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Yes11c212.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec76…01c4backed Yes8c210$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed Yes9c205.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+97.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb90c…b5ebbacked Yes14c200$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf1…0142backed Yes13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb482…fbc7backed Yes11c199.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.