TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7620…d9f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$493.55
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$941.54
Spread: Warriors (-9.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000.15
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+100%+$1,000
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$975.47
Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$975.47
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Pacers vs. Clippersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+185.7%+$324.69
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$230.77
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$250.19
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$203.37
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+84.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$52.74
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+324.2%+$1,997.11
Will Atalanta win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$406.01
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+37.1%+$371.29
Real Madrid vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Anadolu Efes vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,250
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$1,040.82
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+143.9%+$205.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+91.9%+$71.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+83.7%+$151.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST.tv Austin Major: MOUZ vs. Vitalitybacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$626
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,018.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Shelton vs. Tiafoebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,000.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$700.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.