NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d01cac47c2b6f85a46b9aa3647e4f8954f674737165f5ec39bfb27f534718f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Trail Blazers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $458,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 39,019$26,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,286.37 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 44c | 38,726$17,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,586.12 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 25,162$15,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,511.93 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 69c | 17,860$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,610.44 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Timberwolves | 36c | 12,275$4,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,855.95 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Timberwolves | 28c | 10,858$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,767.55 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 10,324$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.89 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 31c | 8,700$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.94 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 8,026$3,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.46 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Trail Blazers | 74c | 7,961$5,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,883.65 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 7,838$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.32 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 6,748$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.02 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Trail Blazers | 64c | 5,893$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.36 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Trail Blazers | 78c | 5,001$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910.05 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Trail Blazers | 41c | 5,000$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.6 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Trail Blazers | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 5,000$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 69c | 4,338$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.08 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Trail Blazers | 42c | 4,004$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 3,235$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 3,059$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.03 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 3,022$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.7 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Timberwolves | 36c | 2,775$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…83cebacked Timberwolves | 40c | 2,629$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.65 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Timberwolves | 67c | 2,481$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.81 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 2,314$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.55 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Timberwolves | 65c | 2,305$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.6 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Trail Blazers | 5c | 2,253$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 2,201$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.12 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 2,069$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.95 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 1,780$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.7 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,732$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.43 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Trail Blazers | 34c | 1,618$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,543$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.45 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Trail Blazers | 33c | 1,510$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.62 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 1,498$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.29 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Timberwolves | 34c | 1,482$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.29 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Timberwolves | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…ff3bbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,383$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 1,378$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…b2dabacked Timberwolves | 67c | 1,343$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 1,338$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,272$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Timberwolves | 25c | 1,268$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Trail Blazers | 80c | 1,257$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 1,243$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.65 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…d179backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 1,057$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 1,052$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.77 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd76c…aa9abacked Timberwolves | 29c | 1,023$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…6d3fbacked Trail Blazers | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…c5f7backed Trail Blazers | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 971$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.25 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 965$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.22 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Trail Blazers | 34c | 943.23$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.32 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 915$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.6 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…15d7backed Trail Blazers | 78c | 858.73$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.06 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 833.57$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.86 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Timberwolves | 62c | 780$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…1e3cbacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 775.48$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…d268backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 747.97$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.19 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 24c | 735.79$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.2 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 728$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.56 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Timberwolves | 68c | 727.94$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.94 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Timberwolves | 68c | 725.21$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.07 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 708.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Timberwolves | 27c | 697.7$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.33 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…d9f0backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 682.93$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 680$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…2096backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 680$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Trail Blazers | 41c | 675.04$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.77 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Timberwolves | 37c | 672.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.35 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…9b9fbacked Timberwolves | 30c | 670$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.3 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Trail Blazers | 33c | 666.96$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.3 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 649.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 605$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.15 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…15fcbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 505.8$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2b…eadabacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 501.16$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…55ccbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a057backed Timberwolves | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…1305backed Timberwolves | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacc…be87backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…611fbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…2d54backed Timberwolves | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…4c4bbacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…d2a5backed Timberwolves | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…c2bbbacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…eb45backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…1f2bbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a40…82cebacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…7cabbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…22a7backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…12dabacked Timberwolves | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…7242backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…6662backed Timberwolves | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…bfcfbacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.