Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eef1b012ee3f0b1dce18511e6791115c04469e570cfd7ffb2d86acbfb1d269e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Team Liquid | 68c | 15,124$10,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,344.98 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked OG | 31c | 9,273$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,390.55 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid | 69c | 9,065$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,289.34 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 8,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.99 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG | 29c | 7,660$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,438.13 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked OG | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked OG | 32c | 6,684$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,570.52 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 68c | 6,468$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed OG | 6c | 5,284$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,983.71 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 43c | 5,249$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.18 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 27c | 5,205$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.57 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed OG | 30c | 5,139$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.98 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…ef69backed Team Liquid | 70c | 4,973$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 3c | 4,442$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.37 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…da5abacked OG | 28c | 3,661$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed OG | 29c | 3,345$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.02 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Team Liquid | 66c | 3,151$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.64 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 1,860$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.7 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed OG | 26c | 1,826$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…1408backed OG | 30c | 1,657$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,551$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.51 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked OG | 26c | 1,527$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.23 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked OG | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked OG | 29c | 1,340$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.39 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…6bfcbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,250$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b18…5055backed OG | 70c | 1,200$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed OG | 26c | 1,167$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.19 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked OG | 33c | 1,058$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.38 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed OG | 34c | 1,005$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.3 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked OG | 35c | 997.89$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed OG | 26c | 960.02$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.12 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 72c | 938.58$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.09 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Liquid | 68c | 877.01$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.67 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 855.41$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.7 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 29c | 849.29$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.78 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed OG | 32c | 769.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.49 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed OG | 33c | 714.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.86 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 28c | 710.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.9 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…d9f0backed Team Liquid | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked OG | 33c | 607.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.79 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 575.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed OG | 40c | 562.46$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.48 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed OG | 14c | 465.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.61 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…b9c0backed Team Liquid | 56c | 433.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.9 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid | 78c | 432.91$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed OG | 30c | 396.47$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.8 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 68c | 365.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed OG | 27c | 360$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed OG | 67c | 350$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed OG | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed OG | 73c | 339.7$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed OG | 26c | 326.84$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.6 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…8e95backed Team Liquid | 79c | 317.16$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 315$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked OG | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed OG | 42c | 248.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed OG | 35c | 241.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 228.03$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.73 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdd…6261backed OG | 32c | 217.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Team Liquid | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Liquid | 77c | 207.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…e607backed OG | 32c | 205.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.46 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked OG | 28c | 200.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.01 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed OG | 49c | 197.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fb…b4a6backed OG | 27c | 188.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 24cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed OG | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Team Liquid | 71c | 182.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed OG | 30c | 174.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed OG | 35c | 168.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed OG | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed OG | 34c | 164.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.61 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Liquid | 58c | 161.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…bf01backed Team Liquid | 74c | 160$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed OG | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed OG | 32c | 152.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed OG | 28c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Liquid | 67c | 147.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…1b7ebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 136.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd855…c823backed Team Liquid | 68c | 130.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Team Liquid | 71c | 130$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed OG | 36c | 111.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed OG | 27c | 110$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…42c4backed Team Liquid | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked OG | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…dacbbacked OG | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked OG | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked OG | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed OG | 33c | 93.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 76.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 60.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Team Liquid | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed OG | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3044…86f0backed OG | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked OG | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 49.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfb…86bebacked Team Liquid | 76c | 48.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Liquid | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.