Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ed035b14338f94a11e5819d9689e6439040586dbfd849a0d5d6995e50069705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof OG, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $552,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Liquid | 62c | 22,836$14,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,663.64 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 2c | 20,147$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.57 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 18,525$14,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,366.02 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Liquid | 63c | 17,506$11,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,395.92 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Liquid | 34c | 16,197$5,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,741.41 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed OG | 35c | 13,281$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.96 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed OG | 38c | 12,370$4,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed OG | 12c | 11,954$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.01 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed OG | 30c | 10,329$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.31 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed OG | 23c | 10,205$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.31 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 9,910$7,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.53 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 42c | 7,786$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.74 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked OG | 63c | 7,440$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720.74 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed OG | 32c | 7,236$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked OG | 49c | 6,704$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Liquid | 75c | 6,667$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…17f1backed OG | 5c | 6,197$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed OG | 36c | 5,676$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.5 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 24c | 5,303$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.41 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 54c | 5,216$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.14 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Team Liquid | 21c | 4,451$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.33 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…6bedbacked OG | 38c | 4,406$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Liquid | 76c | 3,919$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.83 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…51ebbacked OG | 26c | 3,910$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed OG | 11c | 3,636$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked OG | 33c | 3,505$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed OG | 49c | 3,483$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.14 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed OG | 28c | 3,361$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.5 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed OG | 26c | 3,260$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.5 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Team Liquid | 20c | 3,126$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked OG | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.74 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Liquid | 9c | 2,915$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.01 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed OG | 32c | 2,902$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.59 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…ef69backed OG | 61c | 2,790$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked OG | 36c | 2,747$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.94 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 77c | 2,598$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.55 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 30c | 2,195$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.15 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9609…29bdbacked OG | 49c | 2,024$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed OG | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Liquid | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 35c | 1,995$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.52 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Liquid | 76c | 1,963$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.03 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf081…9d40backed OG | 25c | 1,945$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed OG | 67c | 1,903$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.15 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…0d51backed OG | 18c | 1,700$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed OG | 39c | 1,618$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.6 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed Team Liquid | 76c | 1,610$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.26 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,600$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked OG | 23c | 1,582$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.32 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 1,480$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.87 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 1,291$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…6bfcbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,278$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed OG | 25c | 1,200$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.83 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…99e1backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,170$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc354…bf7bbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 1,129$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…1551backed OG | 9c | 1,120$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked OG | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed OG | 11c | 1,033$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…b13ebacked OG | 21c | 1,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked OG | 25c | 999$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed OG | 33c | 972.25$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae3…fde6backed OG | 26c | 942.31$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…3058backed OG | 11c | 914$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed OG | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked OG | 44c | 908.85$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.32 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Liquid | 50c | 869.86$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.89 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked OG | 28c | 861.47$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.47 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed OG | 66c | 824.95$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Team Liquid | 77c | 811.69$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed OG | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Team Liquid | 63c | 789.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.24 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Team Liquid | 45c | 773.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed OG | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed OG | 76c | 751.32$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…2b42backed Team Liquid | 75c | 733.33$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…5120backed Team Liquid | 65c | 669.52$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +110%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked OG | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 37c | 661.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.85 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 659.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.14 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked OG | 38c | 653.43$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed OG | 19c | 630$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked OG | 17c | 602.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed OG | 37c | 599.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked OG | 40c | 597.5$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 45c | 560$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…e215backed OG | 37c | 541.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked OG | 10c | 538.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Liquid | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b18…5055backed Team Liquid | 51c | 522.49$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed OG | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed OG | 26c | 484.65$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed OG | 47c | 474.44$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.61 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed Team Liquid | 51c | 449.35$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…74c2backed OG | 5c | 440.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 423.34$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…e58fbacked OG | 68c | 420.39$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…d9f0backed OG | 60c | 413.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed OG | 25c | 408.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.