Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaed30e3ff720de298d92ee9826dcf0bb2ed04a6598c0ecda86f534c6b28ed7c

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Liquidof OG, Team Liquid
Resolved: Nov 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $201,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $238,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,066 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked OG	30c	22,817$6,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,788.37	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Team Liquid	68c	22,594$15,313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,280.14	106	61.3%65 W · 41 L	+10.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Team Liquid	70c	20,705$14,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,141.25	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Liquid	72c	17,892$12,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,930.46	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked OG	29c	15,094$4,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,317.61	158	52.5%83 W · 75 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed OG	28c	12,610$3,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,519.02	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed OG	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG	36c	5,551$1,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,992.84	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5c…99e1backed Team Liquid	73c	5,045$3,678 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,367.2	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20a5…de1bbacked Team Liquid	72c	5,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked OG	47c	4,617$2,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,169.65	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid	57c	3,303$1,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,420.19	536	52.6%282 W · 254 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Team Liquid	58c	3,158$1,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,316.74	180	75%135 W · 45 L	+18.8wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed OG	27c	2,796$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.01	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid	39c	2,714$1,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,658.29	451	39.2%177 W · 274 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed OG	39c	1,960$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.86	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa22a…b662backed OG	28c	1,786$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Team Liquid	75c	1,692$1,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.79	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked OG	27c	1,500$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	399	36.8%147 W · 252 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Liquid	72c	1,419$1,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.58	166	65.7%109 W · 57 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1034…b26dbacked OG	27c	1,247$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.68	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked OG	23c	1,071$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.11	858	51.3%440 W · 418 L	+30.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked OG	28c	1,029$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.37	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Team Liquid	50c	995.01$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.82	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed OG	29c	981.86$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.76	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed OG	33c	903.28$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.93	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked Team Liquid	70c	815.84$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.06	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7620…d9f0backed Team Liquid	60c	745.06$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.4	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	58cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Team Liquid	70c	711.16$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.16	161	49.7%80 W · 81 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33f1…f95fbacked Team Liquid	73c	684.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.93	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid	73c	676.77$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.73	476	60.7%289 W · 187 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41c…8e95backed Team Liquid	61c	651.32$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.76	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed OG	43c	621.48$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.1	235	29.4%69 W · 166 L	-21.5wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked OG	61c	610$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.1	380	49.2%187 W · 193 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+168.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Team Liquid	64c	602.41$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.66	80	66.3%53 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Team Liquid	72c	597.28$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.79	234	65%152 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd333…2a71backed Team Liquid	72c	564.61$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.61	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa7…3058backed OG	47c	562.99$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.55	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb20…b9c0backed Team Liquid	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-4.1wins	-0.22per pick	37cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed OG	26c	472.64$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.51	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d43…8c48backed Team Liquid	44c	464.78$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.78	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.56per pick	44cpaid	+125.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked OG	44c	451.18$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb73b…7155backed OG	70c	431.99$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.15	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	70cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Team Liquid	69c	400$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	220	33.6%74 W · 146 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x217f…5d10backed OG	26c	399.98$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.5	91	28.6%26 W · 65 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d60…be72backed OG	55c	395.04$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.57	199	49.2%98 W · 101 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ac…135cbacked OG	55c	390.94$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.89	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.28per pick	42cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Team Liquid	52c	384.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.88	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed OG	46c	376.76$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.09	592	50.5%299 W · 293 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed OG	78c	366.86$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.88	626	50.5%316 W · 310 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed OG	29c	366.5$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.28	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7815…ade8backed OG	36c	364.83$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.16	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed OG	44c	358.27$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.1	98	52%51 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed OG	42c	355.4$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid	63c	323.58$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.03	568	48.8%277 W · 291 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33a8…47f2backed OG	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	61cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8f…e8b1backed OG	28c	319.59$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.48	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Team Liquid	39c	301.01$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.55	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+14.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked OG	29c	300$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	641	23.4%150 W · 491 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Liquid	69c	300$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93	132	62.9%83 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ac…86d0backed Team Liquid	49c	300$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Liquid	35c	290$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.34	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed OG	30c	289.45$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.83	491	33.6%165 W · 326 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Team Liquid	58c	275.76$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.76	156	53.2%83 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked OG	50c	250$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-6.5wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	641	49.9%320 W · 321 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed OG	29c	241.38$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	140	39.3%55 W · 85 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed OG	27c	236.36$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.82	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa49…6330backed Team Liquid	61c	209.84$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.84	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac15…5351backed Team Liquid	72c	202.78$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.78	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked OG	50c	201.04$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	353	70%247 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c6…e547backed OG	33c	181.85$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.01	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid	36c	174.55$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.71	344	43.9%151 W · 193 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid	40c	167.51$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.77	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf2…29d6backed OG	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf43f…54a6backed OG	29c	165$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.85	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x197b…7477backed OG	31c	161.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.08	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…4134backed OG	57c	158$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.86	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Team Liquid	71c	154.32$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.32	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed OG	44c	146.66$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.25	191	45.5%87 W · 104 L	+13.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked OG	26c	145.86$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.06	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3de…f2ffbacked Team Liquid	71c	142$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.18	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee6f…3859backed Team Liquid	72c	139.36$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.36	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+4.6wins	+0.26per pick	47cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Team Liquid	49c	133.78$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.69	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.29per pick	59cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed OG	25c	133.33$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	557	51.7%288 W · 269 L	+16.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a20…42c4backed Team Liquid	52c	111.11$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.6	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.12per pick	28cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04e5…b8ffbacked Team Liquid	49c	106.14$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.14	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Team Liquid	24c	100.06$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.48	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	-14.1wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd352…07a6backed Team Liquid	73c	100$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6fb…b4a6backed OG	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+3.9wins	+0.30per pick	24cpaid	+113.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb719…dacbbacked OG	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked OG	63c	100$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team Liquid	73c	92.25$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.27	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd855…c823backed Team Liquid	72c	90.28$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.28	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked Team Liquid	70c	90.17$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.05	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c61…64e1backed Team Liquid	71c	79.86$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.16	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked OG	65c	76.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked OG	48c	76.25$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.84	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3703…2795backed OG	42c	71.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	153	41.2%63 W · 90 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed OG	27c	66.16$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	107	45.8%49 W · 58 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)Team Liquid won
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerOG won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event