TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb73b…7155

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST2556%14 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs L1ga Team (BO3)backed L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+37.3%+$64.5
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Yellow Submarine (BO3)backed Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+44.3%+$122.81
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+73.9%+$739.02
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.5%+$117.66
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+31.6%+$45.75
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+45.5%+$257.19
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$428.57
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$59.74
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+25.5%+$76.54
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+85.2%+$170.37
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$385.16
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$462
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$426.34
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$23.7
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$570.9
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+37.6%+$92.86
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$303.15
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+37%+$9.99
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: OG vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1560%9 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team zoneR vs Team buster (BO3)backed Team buster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+36.3%+$72.63
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team magixx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team CS2NEWS (BO3)backed Team Shadowkek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$79.8
Counter-Strike: 33 vs GenOne (BO3)backed 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team zoneR vs CyberDynamo (BO3)backed CyberDynamo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+71.4%+$141.06
Counter-Strike: WOPA Esport vs XI Esport (BO3)backed XI Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+30.4%+$91.39
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs CyberDynamo (BO3)backed CyberDynamo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: 33 vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerbacked 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Team OverDrive vs Team m3wsu (BO3)backed Team m3wsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+61.3%+$306.45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+28.5%+$286.25
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG (BO3)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$408.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,559Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+31.7%+$493.87
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$351.35
Counter-Strike: OG vs 500 (BO3)backed 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+53.8%+$269.23
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs SAW (BO3)backed SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+100.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+75%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$508.39
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+28.5%+$84.09
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Paper Rex (BO1)backed FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+42.9%+$214.29
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.8%+$170.48
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+29.1%+$145.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Trail Blazersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+25%+$260.16
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+25%+$117.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+44.9%+$134.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37%+$184.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.