Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2775237dbe6a92894f049e75bd5e083d6ef6a6d34a230e11a440bea073c9ebed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 10,064$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.99 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 9,625$5,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,992.6 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 40c | 8,078$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,806.39 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 38c | 7,500$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624.99 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 6,964$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,270.39 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 6,199$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.84 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 4,520$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.79 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 4,337$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.18 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 3,056$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.35 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Liquid | 42c | 2,401$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.46 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Tundra Esports | 1c | 1,983$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,671$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 41c | 1,513$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.97 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Liquid | 76c | 1,421$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.04 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 1,141$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.91 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…99e1backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,108$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Team Liquid | 76c | 1,081$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.48 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Team Liquid | 44c | 999.12$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.51 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 925.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Liquid | 49c | 917.46$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.9 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 38c | 853.63$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.72 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 794.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.26 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…75c4backed Team Liquid | 41c | 738.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Team Liquid | 59c | 733.27$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.5 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 676$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.2 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Team Liquid | 41c | 650.8$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.69 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36a9…c1d3backed Team Liquid | 76c | 568.25$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.87 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…8d0dbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Liquid | 48c | 471.54$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 456.38$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 59c | 421.8$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.94 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Team Liquid | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…4163backed Tundra Esports | 24c | 383.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd855…c823backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 382.69$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 370.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Team Liquid | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 340.56$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Liquid | 65c | 333.44$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.16 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid | 73c | 320.16$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Team Liquid | 49c | 300.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Liquid | 71c | 289.79$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 275.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 270$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…34b3backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 269.17$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 262.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.65 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 246.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Team Liquid | 40c | 245.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 238.82$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 223.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Liquid | 67c | 212.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 206.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…42c4backed Team Liquid | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Liquid | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…17f1backed Team Liquid | 64c | 198.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Team Liquid | 54c | 185.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 161.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 160.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 159.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…0af2backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…3859backed Team Liquid | 41c | 127.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…4e5ebacked Team Liquid | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Team Liquid | 42c | 119.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Team Liquid | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfde…62ddbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 108.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b90…142bbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 83.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 81.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 80.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…f77fbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…dacbbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 71.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 69.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Liquid | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 61.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Team Liquid | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Team Liquid | 42c | 57.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 55.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 50.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Team Liquid | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked Tundra Esports | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…33acbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Team Liquid | 41c | 48.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Team Liquid | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 40.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Liquid | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Liquid | 37c | 39.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb73b…7155backed Team Liquid | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…1b7ebacked Team Liquid | 44c | 33.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 33.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Team Liquid | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Team Liquid | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3)Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.