Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x980ff70c47727f6a2a7b6c07dd949a092d02c64796a34ac1c70b37fd826b36e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Liquid | 54c | 20,900$11,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,571.7 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 20,408$10,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,358.67 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 14,514$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,288.88 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Liquid | 55c | 10,795$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,822.46 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 6,270$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.93 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 4,400$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.73 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 3,639$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 3,523$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.73 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,609$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.61 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Tundra Esports | 16c | 2,021$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,800$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,761$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.74 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,523$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.81 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,410$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.54 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.97 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,313$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.73 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Tundra Esports | 8c | 1,029$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 842.38$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 50c | 832.09$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.03 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Liquid | 59c | 818$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.48 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 740$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.91 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 710.17$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.84 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 612.96$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…14adbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 551.68$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 547.31$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Liquid | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Liquid | 50c | 494.97$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 460.02$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 445.08$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.74 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Team Liquid | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Liquid | 52c | 319.6$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.41 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 316.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Team Liquid | 55c | 282.22$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed Team Liquid | 48c | 279.46$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…2f2ebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 258.35$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 233.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 212.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…4163backed Team Liquid | 48c | 209.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Liquid | 47c | 202.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Tundra Esports | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…3859backed Team Liquid | 47c | 172.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.34 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 167.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 161.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Team Liquid | 56c | 149.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…17f1backed Team Liquid | 70c | 148.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed Team Liquid | 75c | 144.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 135.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Team Liquid | 78c | 126.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 120.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed Team Liquid | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Team Liquid | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 74.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…dacbbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 73.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…33acbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…5adcbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…57f3backed Team Liquid | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Team Liquid | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…4e5ebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…1b7ebacked Team Liquid | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…f77fbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 47.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…21f0backed Team Liquid | 53c | 46.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…cf16backed Team Liquid | 53c | 44.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Tundra Esports | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Liquid | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 28.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…eaf0backed Team Liquid | 62c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…79a8backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Team Liquid | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…4dacbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3)Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.