Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x838cd251dcf0c3b1e2032275b8538be1213496c391f32789cf438214cf1a325e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Liquid | 66c | 18,984$12,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,384.97 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 17,788$6,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,756.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 17,473$6,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,015.81 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 23c | 11,161$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.41 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid | 47c | 10,738$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,691.28 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 7,936$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.3 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Team Liquid | 79c | 5,811$4,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tundra Esports | 18c | 5,429$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.66 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Team Liquid | 47c | 5,337$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.5 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Team Liquid | 49c | 5,321$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.84 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 5,165$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.48 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 45c | 4,236$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.63 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Team Liquid | 47c | 4,105$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.04 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Team Liquid | 50c | 4,025$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Team Liquid | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…99e1backed Team Liquid | 73c | 3,959$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 3,700$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.97 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 3,465$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 2,887$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.38 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Tundra Esports | 8c | 2,884$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.19 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 2,660$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.57 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Tundra Esports | 10c | 2,342$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed Team Liquid | 78c | 2,291$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.34 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 18c | 2,279$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.82 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 2,065$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 1,974$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.15 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,813$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.68 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…3ae6backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,727$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.27 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,719$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.76 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Team Liquid | 74c | 1,565$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.88 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 66c | 1,210$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.57 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…ef69backed Team Liquid | 46c | 1,083$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,035$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.9 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 47c | 897.13$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.13 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked Tundra Esports | 16c | 874.8$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 849.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Team Liquid | 73c | 831.28$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.29 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Team Liquid | 47c | 759.84$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.71 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 742.57$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.99 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 732.98$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.48 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Tundra Esports | 26c | 722.69$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Team Liquid | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 678.32$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.07 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…446fbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Team Liquid | 47c | 650$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd855…c823backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 638.76$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…753abacked Tundra Esports | 17c | 599.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 575.59$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.43 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…aad0backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 550$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Liquid | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Liquid | 50c | 518$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Tundra Esports | 29c | 464.41$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…1551backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 462.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 460$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.27 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Tundra Esports | 15c | 444.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 412.33$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Team Liquid | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 395.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Tundra Esports | 10c | 374$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed Tundra Esports | 27c | 371.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 45c | 349.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.49 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Liquid | 47c | 342.79$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.68 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…34b3backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 331.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 318$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…2b8dbacked Tundra Esports | 14c | 302.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 295.4$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.78 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 290.68$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.34 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Liquid | 73c | 286.38$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 284.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Tundra Esports | 15c | 265.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Team Liquid | 59c | 243.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…2b42backed Team Liquid | 46c | 241.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 237$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Team Liquid | 65c | 215.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -78%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Team Liquid | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed Team Liquid | 50c | 202.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 200.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…dcb7backed Tundra Esports | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Tundra Esports | 32c | 199.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 199.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 199.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Team Liquid | 50c | 198.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 189.59$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.