TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62b7…f260

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
232
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20735.3%73 W · 134 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 207 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$44.65
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+250.8%+$150.49
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$24.14
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$13.25
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+547.8%+$191.74
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Showing 25 of 207 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39.59
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$49.97
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+405.7%+$105.48
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-63.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.