Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48dc4113c3f161621a736e9bd5f423fda85516c125c7950be2c15c0c5c5cf800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 27,505$20,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,366.36 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 25,651$14,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,428.53 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 16,576$7,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,287.68 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 15,018$6,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,807.79 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 11,389$5,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,115.88 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 10,598$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 6,500$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.81 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 6,300$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.98 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 6,130$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 5,252$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.58 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 4,933$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.06 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 4,637$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.52 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…543bbacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 4,552$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 4,008$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.65 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 3,888$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.75 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 3,599$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.19 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 3,537$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.58 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 3,033$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.99 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 3,024$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.29 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 2,737$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.56 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 2,636$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.43 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,543$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.45 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 2,303$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.12 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x448f…8496backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 2,296$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 2,232$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.05 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 2,050$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 2,044$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.25 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 2,000$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.15 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed LGD Gaming | 64c | 1,971$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.07 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked LGD Gaming | 80c | 1,921$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.52 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,920$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.55 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 1,792$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.41 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,615$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,600$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked LGD Gaming | 54c | 1,591$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.02 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 1,544$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.77 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed LGD Gaming | 78c | 1,539$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -5.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked LGD Gaming | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,500$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,499$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.57 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…2330backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,437$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.65 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked LGD Gaming | 72c | 1,430$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.4 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,330$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 1,308$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.59 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 1,290$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 1,265$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.36 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,200$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 1,200$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,137$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,120$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.46 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,057$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.51 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed LGD Gaming | 79c | 1,040$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.22 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…8ca4backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 1,012$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked LGD Gaming | 56c | 1,000$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.12 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.61 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 999.99$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.57 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 999.91$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.96 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…1721backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 962.8$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…09e3backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 917.4$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.89 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 910.25$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.61 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 885.52$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.66 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 880.48$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.56 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 836.49$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.15 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 831$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.38 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 823.75$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.16 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 815.04$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.86 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 810$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 800$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 754.14$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.53 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 749.14$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 735.55$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.02 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 726.24$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.66 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 703.64$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.56 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 697.69$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.62 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 691.89$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 669.81$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.81 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 662.77$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.62 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 654.89$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.6 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 643.68$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.73 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 637.95$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.94 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 635.08$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 616.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 612$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.64 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 587.92$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 570.24$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 563.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked LGD Gaming | 56c | 563$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.72 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed LGD Gaming | 75c | 538.79$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 533.51$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 532.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 529.12$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.95 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 500$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?No won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.