Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x936b2fdda06fd181a374e3d33d7cf2b0e85096ff63f4f38f49d4a429463b8b95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 6,082$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.35 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 5,156$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.77 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 4,169$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.36 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 3,882$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked LGD Gaming | 72c | 2,150$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.78 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…7104backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 2,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,506$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.39 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.99 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,436$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 900.93$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.59 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 821.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.45 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked LGD Gaming | 74c | 594.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 505$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 500.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 460$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 423.64$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 405.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 364.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked LGD Gaming | 70c | 332.71$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 324.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 299.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked LGD Gaming | 71c | 281.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 281.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked LGD Gaming | 57c | 271.78$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 265.73$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 265.48$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 259.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 226.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…357bbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 221.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 210.45$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 206.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked LGD Gaming | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 199.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 175.06$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 160$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…a286backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 155.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…b742backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 148.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…4d58backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 133.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…5985backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 128.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7e…76c0backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 118.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 107.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 103.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked LGD Gaming | 60c | 97.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 96.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 93.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 82.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484d…8a3dbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 81.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 75.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…d64ebacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 69.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 66.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b9…58a7backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 64.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed LGD Gaming | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 55.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…71cebacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 52.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 47.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 46.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed LGD Gaming | 79c | 38.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 37.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 37.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…570bbacked LGD Gaming | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 31.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 28.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 28.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 20.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?No won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.