Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbec813165f6a2a01d76a7e8b24ba9d7047c426edc1b19ad2c7dbe652130d511f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof LGD Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 14,304$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,351.72 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 4,022$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.57 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 3,643$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.06 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 3,174$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.16 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 2,860$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.13 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 2,834$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.84 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 2,569$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.63 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 2,087$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.85 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,942$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.15 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 1,917$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.26 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LGD Gaming | 59c | 1,901$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.27 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 1,674$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.86 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,494$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.42 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,360$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.48 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,355$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.44 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,336$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.11 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked LGD Gaming | 54c | 1,300$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.77 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 1,296$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 974.05$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.22 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 943.39$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.02 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 908.49$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.67 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 857$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.19 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.99 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked LGD Gaming | 68c | 770.47$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.29 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked LGD Gaming | 24c | 656.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.34 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 631.58$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.84 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…ba5cbacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 606.87$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked LGD Gaming | 30c | 538.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 502.32$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.19 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed LGD Gaming | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 484.66$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 483$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.69 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 479.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.25 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 450$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 427.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.15 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 423.9$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.16 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…9190backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 406.26$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 405.48$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.62 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 399.88$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 394.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed LGD Gaming | 22c | 382$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 366.42$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.51 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 358.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.23 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 356.21$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 316.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 315.36$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 300$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked LGD Gaming | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed LGD Gaming | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 294.43$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 291.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 270$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 269.91$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked LGD Gaming | 46c | 256.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 256.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 254.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.32 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 240$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed LGD Gaming | 38c | 222.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 214.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 210.09$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 204.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.94 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed LGD Gaming | 71c | 200.7$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed LGD Gaming | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked LGD Gaming | 48c | 198.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…b742backed LGD Gaming | 73c | 188.56$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 178.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked LGD Gaming | 75c | 172.41$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 170.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 168.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 161.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 160$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 159$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked LGD Gaming | 42c | 158$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 154.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…7a8ebacked LGD Gaming | 44c | 152.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed LGD Gaming | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…5146backed LGD Gaming | 74c | 147.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 253 | 56.5%143 W · 110 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 145.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 142$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked LGD Gaming | 34c | 140.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 139$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 136.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked LGD Gaming | 51c | 129$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed LGD Gaming | 72c | 125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 116.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe416…7fc0backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 103.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?No won
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.