TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xddc6…13c4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT11449.1%56 W · 58 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+399.2%+$782.41
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$165.16
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$190.77
Dota 2: OG vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 Winnerbacked InterActive Philippines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+64%+$102.98
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 3 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.92
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$521.87
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Estar Backs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs - Game 2 Winnerbacked Estar Backs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$171
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.1%+$202.77
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$51.67
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winnerbacked Flame Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.39
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Flame Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$269
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Estar Backs - Game 1 Winnerbacked Estar Backs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Team Refuser (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$86.61
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$489
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$46.15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$113.08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$111.86
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.62
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.91
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$247
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$362.79
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$478.05
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$467
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$429
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$281.02
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$627
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$98.25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$205.55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$56.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.65
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$119.28
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.95
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$100.52
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$474
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$177.18
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$249
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$61.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.