Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83cf2f065d31279f46c5850976dc657cf2f51a2df2d5cef549dbdd53e1574264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flame Teamof Power Rangers, Flame Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Flame Team | 30c | 2,029$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.4 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Flame Team | 38c | 1,843$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.73 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Flame Team | 23c | 1,605$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.79 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Power Rangers | 57c | 1,553$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.46 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Power Rangers | 69c | 1,499$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.47 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Power Rangers | 67c | 1,192$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.92 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Power Rangers | 77c | 1,063$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.53 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Power Rangers | 41c | 1,027$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.05 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Power Rangers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Flame Team | 42c | 925$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.5 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Flame Team | 63c | 859.97$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.39 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Flame Team | 71c | 648.71$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.71 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Power Rangers | 69c | 600$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.31 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Power Rangers | 18c | 599.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed Power Rangers | 37c | 526.46$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Flame Team | 19c | 494.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.25 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Power Rangers | 43c | 405.91$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.21 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 59c | 390$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…7ecfbacked Flame Team | 18c | 372.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.54 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Flame Team | 63c | 357.1$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Power Rangers | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Power Rangers | 20c | 295.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Power Rangers | 56c | 230.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers | 54c | 217.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Power Rangers | 67c | 215.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Power Rangers | 51c | 137.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Power Rangers | 73c | 137$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Flame Team | 65c | 103.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Power Rangers | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Power Rangers | 67c | 101.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Power Rangers | 52c | 95.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Flame Team | 23c | 87.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…a0f5backed Power Rangers | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 59c | 63.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Power Rangers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Power Rangers | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Flame Team | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Flame Team | 31c | 57.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Power Rangers | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Power Rangers | 80c | 37.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Power Rangers | 47c | 33.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Power Rangers | 43c | 32.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…a758backed Power Rangers | 76c | 22.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Flame Team | 78c | 19.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Flame Team | 73c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Power Rangers | 58c | 17.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Group BPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Flame Team - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.